Double chance
Double chance covers two of the three 1X2 outcomes in a single bet: 1X (home or draw), X2 (away or draw) or 12 (either, no draw). You win if either covered outcome happens - so more often, but at a lower price.
It's a more cautious market than a straight 1X2: you trade a lower price for a higher chance of winning. Useful to cover a favourite that could be held to a draw, or a home underdog, without betting solely on the win.
Its probability follows directly from 1X2: double chance 1X equals the probability of 1 plus that of X, while 12 equals 1 minus the probability of the draw. The fair price is the inverse of that sum. Since the three 1X2 outcomes add up to 100%, the three double chances always add up to 200%.
The trap: a high probability is no guarantee, and the price offered is often very short (1.20 to 1.40 on a big favourite). Stringing these « safe bets » together in an accumulator multiplies the risk: one upset is enough to lose everything. Only ever stake what you can afford to lose.
Probabilities for every match and AI analysis: free, no credit card.
Predict a match for freeExample
If 1 = 52% and X = 26%, double chance 1X is worth 78%.
How Elofoot uses it
Elofoot does not publish a separate double chance market, but you can read it straight from its 1X2 probabilities by adding the two covered outcomes. Since those percentages add up to exactly 100%, the calculation stays consistent.
Betting involves risks: losing money, debt, addiction. Betting is for adults only. Never stake more than you can afford to lose. Elofoot is a data analysis tool: it takes no bets and no prediction is guaranteed.
Frequently asked questions
- What do 1X, X2 and 12 mean in double chance?
- 1X = the home side wins or draws; X2 = the away side wins or draws; 12 = either team wins, and a draw loses.
- What is the difference between double chance and draw no bet?
- With double chance 1X, a draw wins the bet. With draw no bet, a draw simply returns your stake. Double chance therefore pays a lower price.
- Is double chance a risk-free bet?
- No. It wins more often, but the third outcome can still happen and the odds are short: a single upset is enough to lose the stake.
See also
Go further
Put these concepts into practice with our AI football match prediction.
Predict a match for free