Botola Pro· Kick-off : Thursday, October 8, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)· Match in progress
Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Botola Pro, matchday 3: Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca kicks off on Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time). Maghreb Fès start as favourites with a 53% chance of victory; Raja Casablanca are given 23% and the draw 24%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
Maghreb Fès are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Raja Casablanca have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Maghreb Fès therefore arrive in far better shape than Raja Casablanca. On average Maghreb Fès score 2.00 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Raja Casablanca score 1.40 and concede 0.60. In the table, Maghreb Fès sit 1st with 6 points from 2 games, Raja Casablanca 8th with 3 points from 1. 7 places separate the two sides.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Maghreb Fès, 2 for Raja Casablanca and 3 draws. The most recent ended Maghreb Fès 0-2 Raja Casablanca (May 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Maghreb Fès or draw" stands at 77%, "Raja Casablanca or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Maghreb Fès are favourites for this Maghreb Fès v Raja Casablanca, with a 53% win probability from our model. In the table, Maghreb Fès (1st, 6 pts) host Raja Casablanca (8th, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Maghreb Fès – Raja Casablanca. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Maghreb Fès 1-0 Raja Casablanca | 11.6% |
| Maghreb Fès 1-1 Raja Casablanca | 11.6% |
| Maghreb Fès 2-0 Raja Casablanca | 9.7% |
| Maghreb Fès 2-1 Raja Casablanca | 9.7% |
| Maghreb Fès 0-0 Raja Casablanca | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.67 expected goals for Maghreb Fès and 1.00 for Raja Casablanca, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Maghreb Fès keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Raja Casablanca in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Maghreb Fès expected goals | 1.67 |
| Raja Casablanca expected goals | 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Maghreb Fès clean sheet | 37% |
| Raja Casablanca clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Maghreb Fès
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hassania Agadir · Botola Pro | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CR Khemis Zemamra · Botola Pro | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rahimo · CAF Champions League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rahimo · CAF Champions League | 4-1 | W |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Olympique Dcheïra · Botola Pro | 2-0 | W |
Raja Casablanca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | CR Khemis Zemamra · Botola Pro | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Olympique Safi · Botola Pro | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Hassania Agadir · Botola Pro | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Ittihad Tanger · Botola Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Yacoub El Mansour · Botola Pro | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maghreb Fès | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Raja Casablanca | 8 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Maghreb Fès 0-2 Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Raja Casablanca 1-1 Maghreb Fès | Botola Pro |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Raja Casablanca 0-0 Maghreb Fès | Botola Pro |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Maghreb Fès 0-0 Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Raja Casablanca 1-0 Maghreb Fès | Botola Pro |
Out and doubtful
Maghreb Fès
No absences reported.
Raja Casablanca
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Maghreb Fès
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Chabani3/3
- A. Harmach3/3
- A. Tahiri3/3
- H. Ait Allal3/3
- M. Ouhrou3/3
- O. Noureddine3/3
- S. Chihab3/3
- A. Brika2/3
- A. Khafifi2/3
- D. Titus2/3
- T. Mabasa2/3
Raja Casablanca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Barkok4/5
- A. Khafifi4/5
- I. Mokadem4/5
- M. Al Makahasi4/5
- A. El Amloud3/5
- B. Benoun3/5
- I. Khafi3/5
- M. Oyewusi3/5
- A. Khammas2/5
- H. Ferdaoussi2/5
- K. Alaoui2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- UTS Rabat 0-0 Renaissance BerkaneOct 8, 2026
- CR Khemis Zemamra 2-5 Hassania AgadirOct 8, 2026
- FAR Rabat 1-0 Widad TémaraOct 8, 2026
- Moghreb Tetouan – FUS RabatOct 9, 2026
- Kawkab Marrakech – Ittihad TangerOct 10, 2026
- Amal Tiznit – Difaa EL JadidaOct 10, 2026
- Wydad AC – CODM MeknèsOct 11, 2026
- Hassania Agadir – FAR RabatOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca prediction?
Our AI gives Maghreb Fès a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Raja Casablanca 23%. Maghreb Fès are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
The probability that both Maghreb Fès and Raja Casablanca score is 51%. Maghreb Fès have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Raja Casablanca 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.67 for Maghreb Fès, 1.00 for Raja Casablanca). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca played?
Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Botola Pro, matchday 3.
What form are Maghreb Fès and Raja Casablanca in?
Maghreb Fès: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 3 conceded). Raja Casablanca: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Maghreb Fès and Raja Casablanca?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Maghreb Fès, 2 for Raja Casablanca and 3 draws. The most recent ended Maghreb Fès 0-2 Raja Casablanca (May 6, 2026).
How is the Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for Maghreb Fès, 1.00 for Raja Casablanca) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Maghreb Fès predictions
- All Raja Casablanca predictions
- Botola Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology