Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 12:30 (UK time)
Sheffield Utd vs Derby prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Championship, matchday 12: the Sheffield Utd vs Derby match is scheduled on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 12:30 (UK time). Venue: Bramall Lane, Sheffield. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Sheffield Utd 41%, Derby 24% and the draw 35%.
Sheffield Utd have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Derby have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Sheffield Utd score 0.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Derby score 0.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Sheffield Utd sit 13th with 12 points from 9 games, Derby 23rd with 6 points from 9. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Sheffield Utd have averaged 0.63 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.91 for Derby.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Sheffield Utd, 1 for Derby and 0 draws. The most recent ended Derby 1-2 Sheffield Utd (May 2, 2026). Sheffield Utd out or doubtful: F. Seriki (doubtful). Derby: P. Agyemang, M. Clarke, C. Forsyth, D. Murkin, C. Taylor and J. Widell Zetterstrom. In double chance terms, "Sheffield Utd or draw" stands at 76%, "Derby or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 65%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Sheffield Utd
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town · EFL Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Wolves · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Norwich · Championship | 1-3 | L |
Derby
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Burnley · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | West Ham · Championship | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Portsmouth · Championship | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 13 | 12 | 9 |
| Derby | 23 | 6 | 9 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Derby 1-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 1-3 Derby | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Sheffield Utd
- F. Seriki (doubtful)
Derby
- P. Agyemang (out)
- M. Clarke (out)
- C. Forsyth (out)
- D. Murkin (out)
- C. Taylor (out)
- J. Widell Zetterstrom (out)
Most regular starters
Sheffield Utd
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Tanganga5/5
- M. Cooper5/5
- B. Brereton Diaz4/5
- H. Choudhury4/5
- L. Kitching4/5
- R. Norrington-Davies4/5
- S. Peck4/5
- O. Arblaster3/5
- P. Bamford3/5
- R. Donovan3/5
- J. Riedewald2/5
Derby
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Taylor5/5
- S. Szmodics5/5
- A. Mowatt4/5
- B. Clark4/5
- D. Sanderson4/5
- J. Widell Zetterstrom4/5
- R. Hedges4/5
- S. Langas4/5
- D. Ozoh3/5
- C. Morris2/5
- E. Cashin2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Charlton – NorwichOct 24, 2026
- Portsmouth – MillwallOct 24, 2026
- Lincoln – BurnleyOct 24, 2026
- Stoke City – Bristol CityOct 24, 2026
- QPR – SwanseaOct 24, 2026
- West Ham – SouthamptonOct 24, 2026
- Blackburn – WrexhamOct 24, 2026
- Wolves – WatfordOct 24, 2026
- Cardiff – BirminghamOct 24, 2026
- Preston – West BromOct 24, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Sheffield Utd vs Derby prediction?
Our AI gives Sheffield Utd a 41% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Derby 24%. Sheffield Utd are therefore slight favourites.
When and where is Sheffield Utd vs Derby played?
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), Championship, matchday 12. Venue: Bramall Lane, Sheffield.
What form are Sheffield Utd and Derby in?
Sheffield Utd: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded). Derby: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Sheffield Utd and Derby?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Sheffield Utd, 1 for Derby and 0 draws. The most recent ended Derby 1-2 Sheffield Utd (May 2, 2026).
Go further
- All Sheffield Utd predictions
- All Derby predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology