CAF Confederation Cup· Kick-off : Friday, October 23, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Red Arrows (2-3 on penalties). The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Kaizer Chiefs was the model's favourite outcome (47%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows was played on Friday, October 23, 2026 (CAF Confederation Cup). Venue: FNB Stadium, Johannesburg. Before kick-off, our model gave Kaizer Chiefs a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Red Arrows 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.2%), ahead of 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.3%).
Kaizer Chiefs have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Red Arrows are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 8 and conceding 1. Recent momentum is clearly with Red Arrows. On average Kaizer Chiefs score 1.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Red Arrows score 1.60 and concede 0.20.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kaizer Chiefs, 1 for Red Arrows and 0 draws. The most recent ended Red Arrows 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs (Oct 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Kaizer Chiefs or draw" stands at 73%, "Red Arrows or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Kaizer Chiefs are favourites for this Kaizer Chiefs v Red Arrows, with a 47% win probability from our model. On recent form, Kaizer Chiefs have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Red Arrows are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Kaizer Chiefs – Red Arrows. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 Red Arrows | 12.2% |
| Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Red Arrows | 11.1% |
| Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 Red Arrows | 9.3% |
| Kaizer Chiefs 2-0 Red Arrows | 8.4% |
| Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 Red Arrows | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.62 goals in total (1.52 for Kaizer Chiefs, 1.10 for Red Arrows): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Kaizer Chiefs keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Red Arrows in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Kaizer Chiefs expected goals | 1.52 |
| Red Arrows expected goals | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet | 33% |
| Red Arrows clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Kaizer Chiefs
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Red Arrows · CAF Confederation Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stellenbosch · Premier Soccer League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Golden Arrows · Premier Soccer League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polokwane City · Premier Soccer League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Siwelele · Premier Soccer League | 3-2 | W |
Red Arrows
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers · Super League | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mutondo Stars · Super League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Inate Rouge · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inate Rouge · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-0 | W |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Red Arrows 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs | CAF Confederation Cup |
Out and doubtful
Kaizer Chiefs
No absences reported.
Red Arrows
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Kaizer Chiefs
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- Inacio Miguel4/4
- M. Vilakazi4/4
- T. Moloisane4/4
- B. Cross3/4
- L. Maboe3/4
- P. Mmodi3/4
- R. Frosler3/4
- S. Mthethwa3/4
- B. Petersen2/4
- M. Shabalala2/4
- R. Leaner2/4
Other matches in this competition
- Raja Casablanca 2-0 El Kanemi WarriorsOct 23, 2026
- Azam – MasrOct 24, 2026
- Réal Bamako – ES ZarzisOct 24, 2026
- Al Ahli Tripoli – Welwalo Adigrat UniOct 24, 2026
- CS Sfaxien – AFADOct 24, 2026
- Black Bulls Maputo – Rayon SportsOct 24, 2026
- CR Belouizdad – AC DouaneOct 24, 2026
- ASPL 2000 – Durban CityOct 25, 2026
- Maniema Union – KabuscorpOct 25, 2026
- ASC Kara – DiarraOct 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Kaizer Chiefs a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Red Arrows 27%. Kaizer Chiefs are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?
1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.4%) and 0-1 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?
The probability that both Kaizer Chiefs and Red Arrows score is 52%. Kaizer Chiefs have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Red Arrows 22%.
How many goals should we expect in Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?
The model expects 2.62 goals (1.52 for Kaizer Chiefs, 1.10 for Red Arrows). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows played?
Friday, October 23, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), CAF Confederation Cup. Venue: FNB Stadium, Johannesburg.
What form are Kaizer Chiefs and Red Arrows in?
Kaizer Chiefs: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded). Red Arrows: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 1 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Kaizer Chiefs and Red Arrows?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kaizer Chiefs, 1 for Red Arrows and 0 draws. The most recent ended Red Arrows 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs (Oct 17, 2026).
What was the Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Red Arrows (2-3 on penalties). The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Kaizer Chiefs was the model's favourite outcome (47%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.52 for Kaizer Chiefs, 1.10 for Red Arrows) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Kaizer Chiefs predictions
- All Red Arrows predictions
- CAF Confederation Cup predictions
- Kaizer Chiefs cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology