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AFCON 2027 QualifiersAFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

Kenya vs South Africa prediction: correct score and AI tips

KenyaKenya–South AfricaSouth Africa

Match analysis

Kenya take on South Africa on Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), a AFCON 2027 Qualifiers fixture. Venue: Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi. It is a tight call: 25% for Kenya, 31% for the draw and 44% for South Africa.

Kenya have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, South Africa have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 2. South Africa therefore arrive in far better shape than Kenya. On average Kenya score 1.20 and concede 0.60 goals per game; South Africa score 1.80 and concede 0.40. In the table, Kenya sit 4th with 1 points from 2 games, South Africa 1st with 6 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Kenya and South Africa: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Kenya or draw" stands at 56%, "South Africa or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 69%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

25%
Kenya (Win)
31%
Draw
44%
South Africa (Win)

Double chance

56%
Kenya or draw
75%
South Africa or draw
69%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Kenya

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Rwanda · International Friendlies0-0D
Oct 1, 2026Guinea · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers0-1L
Sep 26, 2026Eritrea · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers1-1D
Jun 7, 2026Lesotho · International Friendlies4-0W
Jun 4, 2026Lesotho · International Friendlies1-1D

South Africa

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Egypt · International Friendlies1-0W
Sep 30, 2026Eritrea · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers5-0W
Sep 26, 2026Guinea · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers2-1W
Jun 28, 2026Canada · FIFA World Cup0-1L
Jun 25, 2026South Korea · FIFA World Cup1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Kenya412
South Africa162

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Kenya and South Africa: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Kenya

No absences reported.

South Africa

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Kenya

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • R. Onyango4/5
  • F. Odhiambo3/5
  • M. Obiero3/5
  • M. Okwaro3/5
  • O. S. Wilson3/5
  • A. Omar2/5
  • C. Erambo2/5
  • H. Wesonga2/5
  • J. Ochieng2/5
  • M. Bajaber2/5
  • M. Kibwage2/5

South Africa

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • I. Okon5/5
  • O. Appollis4/5
  • R. Mofokeng4/5
  • R. Williams4/5
  • T. Maseko4/5
  • Y. Sithole4/5
  • A. Modiba3/5
  • E. Makgopa2/5
  • I. Rayners2/5
  • K. Mudau2/5
  • K. Sebelebele2/5

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Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Kenya vs South Africa prediction?

Our AI gives Kenya a 25% chance of winning, the draw 31% and South Africa 44%. South Africa are therefore slight favourites.

When and where is Kenya vs South Africa played?

Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi.

What form are Kenya and South Africa in?

Kenya: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded). South Africa: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 2 conceded).

Go further

Key terms explained