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AFCON 2027 QualifiersAFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Friday, November 13, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

Mali vs Rwanda prediction: correct score and AI tips

MaliMali–RwandaRwanda

Match analysis

Mali take on Rwanda on Friday, November 13, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), a AFCON 2027 Qualifiers fixture. Venue: Stade du 26 Mars, Bamako. Our model makes Mali clear favourites: a 62% chance of winning, against 22% for the draw and 16% for Rwanda.

Over their last 5 matches, Mali have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Rwanda are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 11 and conceding 2. Rwanda therefore arrive in far better shape than Mali. On average Mali score 1.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Rwanda score 2.20 and concede 0.40. In the table, Mali sit 2nd with 6 points from 2 games, Rwanda 1st with 6 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Mali, 0 for Rwanda and 0 draws. The most recent ended Rwanda 0-3 Mali (Nov 11, 2021). In double chance terms, "Mali or draw" stands at 84%, "Rwanda or draw" at 38% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

62%
Mali (Win)
22%
Draw
16%
Rwanda (Win)

Double chance

84%
Mali or draw
38%
Rwanda or draw
78%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Mali

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Morocco · International Friendlies1-1D
Sep 29, 2026Liberia · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers1-0W
Sep 25, 2026Cape Verde · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers3-1W
Jun 4, 2026Iran · International Friendlies0-2L
Mar 31, 2026Russia · International Friendlies0-0D

Rwanda

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Kenya · International Friendlies0-0D
Sep 29, 2026Cape Verde · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers2-1W
Sep 25, 2026Liberia · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers3-1W
Mar 30, 2026Estonia · FIFA Series2-0W
Mar 27, 2026Grenada · FIFA Series4-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Mali262
Rwanda162

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2021Rwanda 0-3 MaliWorld Cup Qualifiers (Africa)
Sep 1, 2021Mali 1-0 RwandaWorld Cup Qualifiers (Africa)

Out and doubtful

Mali

No absences reported.

Rwanda

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Mali

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • N. Gassama5/5
  • O. Camara4/5
  • A. Dieng3/5
  • D. Diarra3/5
  • M. Doumbia3/5
  • M. Sangare3/5
  • A. Haidara2/5
  • D. Guindo2/5
  • D. Nene2/5
  • G. Diakite2/5
  • K. Doumbia2/5

Rwanda

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Mutsinzi4/5
  • J. Mickels4/5
  • L. Mickels4/5
  • P. Kavita4/5
  • A. Biramahire3/5
  • B. Mugisha3/5
  • C. Niyomugabo3/5
  • D. Bizimana3/5
  • G. Byiringiro3/5
  • J. Kwizera3/5
  • Abeddy Biramahire2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Mali vs Rwanda prediction?

Our AI gives Mali a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rwanda 16%. Mali are therefore favourites.

When and where is Mali vs Rwanda played?

Friday, November 13, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Stade du 26 Mars, Bamako.

What form are Mali and Rwanda in?

Mali: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded). Rwanda: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 2 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Mali and Rwanda?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Mali, 0 for Rwanda and 0 draws. The most recent ended Rwanda 0-3 Mali (Nov 11, 2021).

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Key terms explained