Eredivisie· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Eredivisie, matchday 11: the Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar match is scheduled on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. AZ Alkmaar start as favourites with a 48% chance of victory; Ajax are given 30% and the draw 22%.
Over their last 5 matches, Ajax have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, AZ Alkmaar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Ajax score 2.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; AZ Alkmaar score 0.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Ajax sit 5th with 15 points from 8 games, AZ Alkmaar 3rd with 19 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Ajax have averaged 1.46 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.91 for AZ Alkmaar.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ajax, 1 for AZ Alkmaar and 1 draw. The most recent ended AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Ajax (Feb 8, 2026). Ajax out or doubtful: S. Berghuis, D. Blind, Caio Henrique, K. Dolberg and A. Gaaei. AZ Alkmaar: J. Hornkamp, S. Resink and K. Smit. In double chance terms, "Ajax or draw" stands at 52%, "AZ Alkmaar or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 78%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Ajax
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Excelsior · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Willem II · Eredivisie | 5-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie | 5-1 | W |
AZ Alkmaar
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Feyenoord · Eredivisie | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Telstar · Eredivisie | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sunderland · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Willem II · Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 5 | 15 | 8 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 19 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ajax 0-2 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
Out and doubtful
Ajax
- S. Berghuis (out)
- D. Blind (out)
- Caio Henrique (out)
- K. Dolberg (out)
- A. Gaaei (out)
AZ Alkmaar
- J. Hornkamp (out)
- S. Resink (out)
- K. Smit (out)
Most regular starters
Ajax
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Brandt4/5
- J. Mokio4/5
- T. Kehrer4/5
- Y. Baas4/5
- M. ter Stegen3/5
- O. Gloukh3/5
- A. Gaaei2/5
- Caio Henrique2/5
- D. Klaassen2/5
- K. Dolberg2/5
- L. Rosa2/5
AZ Alkmaar
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. De Busser5/5
- P. Koopmeiners5/5
- R. Daal5/5
- W. Goes5/5
- E. Dijkstra4/5
- L. Schouten4/5
- M. Chavez Garcia4/5
- M. Meerdink4/5
- A. Oufkir3/5
- C. Stengs3/5
- D. Kwakman3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Feyenoord – Fortuna SittardOct 31, 2026
- PSV Eindhoven – Willem IIOct 31, 2026
- Heerenveen – NEC NijmegenOct 31, 2026
- Cambuur – GO Ahead EaglesOct 31, 2026
- PEC Zwolle – ADO Den HaagNov 1, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction?
Our AI gives Ajax a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AZ Alkmaar 48%. AZ Alkmaar are therefore favourites.
When and where is Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Eredivisie, matchday 11. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
What form are Ajax and AZ Alkmaar in?
Ajax: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 7 conceded). AZ Alkmaar: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ajax, 1 for AZ Alkmaar and 1 draw. The most recent ended AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Ajax (Feb 8, 2026).
Go further
- All Ajax predictions
- All AZ Alkmaar predictions
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