Eredivisie· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 15:45 (UK time)
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Eredivisie, matchday 12: AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen kicks off on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 15:45 (UK time). Venue: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; Groningen are given 30% and the draw 20%.
Over their last 5 matches, AZ Alkmaar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Groningen have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average AZ Alkmaar score 1.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Groningen score 2.40 and concede 2.00. In the table, AZ Alkmaar sit 5th with 20 points from 10 games, Groningen 8th with 15 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, AZ Alkmaar have averaged 1.70 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.16 for Groningen.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for AZ Alkmaar, 1 for Groningen and 0 draws. The most recent ended Groningen 3-0 AZ Alkmaar (Mar 22, 2026). AZ Alkmaar out or doubtful: W. Goes (doubtful), J. Hornkamp, S. Resink, K. Smit and J. Zoet. Groningen: M. Jeng, T. Mercera and E. van der Laan (doubtful). In double chance terms, "AZ Alkmaar or draw" stands at 70%, "Groningen or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 80%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
AZ Alkmaar
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Twente · Eredivisie | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Europa League | 4-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cambuur · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Feyenoord · Eredivisie | 0-2 | L |
Groningen
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Emmen · KNVB Beker | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ajax · Eredivisie | 2-5 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior · Eredivisie | 5-1 | W |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 20 | 10 |
| Groningen | 8 | 15 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Groningen 3-0 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Aug 10, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
Out and doubtful
AZ Alkmaar
- W. Goes (doubtful)
- J. Hornkamp (out)
- S. Resink (out)
- K. Smit (out)
- J. Zoet (out)
Groningen
- M. Jeng (out)
- T. Mercera (out)
- E. van der Laan (doubtful)
Most regular starters
AZ Alkmaar
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. De Busser5/5
- P. Koopmeiners5/5
- A. Oufkir4/5
- L. Schouten4/5
- R. Daal4/5
- D. Kwakman3/5
- E. Dijkstra3/5
- M. Chavez Garcia3/5
- M. Meerdink3/5
- V. Byskov3/5
- W. Goes3/5
Groningen
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Willumsson4/5
- D. van der Werff4/5
- E. Vaessen4/5
- J. Schreuders4/5
- M. Rente4/5
- P. Clement4/5
- T. Blokzijl4/5
- T. de Jonge4/5
- T. van Bergen4/5
- H. Hateboer3/5
- J. Ondrejka3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Willem II – PEC ZwolleNov 6, 2026
- Fortuna Sittard – TelstarNov 7, 2026
- ADO Den Haag – Sparta RotterdamNov 7, 2026
- Excelsior – GO Ahead EaglesNov 7, 2026
- Heerenveen – FeyenoordNov 8, 2026
- Twente – AjaxNov 8, 2026
- Cambuur – PSV EindhovenNov 8, 2026
- Utrecht – NEC NijmegenNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction?
Our AI gives AZ Alkmaar a 50% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Groningen 30%. AZ Alkmaar are therefore favourites.
When and where is AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 15:45 (UK time), Eredivisie, matchday 12. Venue: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.
What form are AZ Alkmaar and Groningen in?
AZ Alkmaar: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded). Groningen: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between AZ Alkmaar and Groningen?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for AZ Alkmaar, 1 for Groningen and 0 draws. The most recent ended Groningen 3-0 AZ Alkmaar (Mar 22, 2026).
Go further
- All AZ Alkmaar predictions
- All Groningen predictions
- Eredivisie predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology