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Peruvian Liga 1Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Wednesday, September 30, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas prediction: correct score and AI tips

CiencianoCienciano–Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas

Match analysis

Peruvian Liga 1: Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas kicks off on Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco. The edge goes to Club Deportivo Los Chankas (52%), ahead of the draw (37%) and a Cienciano win (11%). The most likely correct score is 0-0 (28.9%), ahead of 0-1 (27.8%) and 0-2 (13.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Cienciano have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Club Deportivo Los Chankas have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 17. Recent momentum is clearly with Cienciano. On average Cienciano score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Club Deportivo Los Chankas score 0.80 and concede 3.40. In the table, Cienciano sit 14th with 7 points from 9 games, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 16th with 7 points from 9. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cienciano, 1 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-0 Cienciano (Apr 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Cienciano or draw" stands at 48%, "Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw" at 89% and "no draw" at 63%.

In short : Our model backs Club Deportivo Los Chankas to edge Cienciano (52% probability). On recent form, Cienciano have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Club Deportivo Los Chankas are struggling (5 losses in 5). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

11%
Cienciano (Win)
37%
Draw
52%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Win)

Double chance

48%
Cienciano or draw
89%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw
63%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Cienciano – Club Deportivo Los Chankas. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (28.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 86% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Cienciano 0-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas28.9%
Cienciano 0-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas27.8%
Cienciano 0-2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas13.3%
Cienciano 1-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas8.1%
Cienciano 1-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 1.24 goals in total (0.28 for Cienciano, 0.96 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas): over 2.5 goals has a 13% probability and both teams to score 15%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Cienciano keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Club Deportivo Los Chankas in 76%.

Probability
Cienciano expected goals0.28
Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected goals0.96
Both teams to score15%
Over 1.5 goals35%
Over 2.5 goals13%
Over 3.5 goals4%
Cienciano clean sheet38%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas clean sheet76%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Cienciano

DateOpponentScore
Sep 11, 2026Atletico Torque · CONMEBOL Sudamericana2-0W
Sep 4, 2026FC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 15-2W
Aug 31, 2026Cusco · Peruvian Liga 11-2L
Aug 23, 2026Sport Boys · Peruvian Liga 11-5L
Aug 21, 2026Botafogo · CONMEBOL Sudamericana0-1L

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

DateOpponentScore
Sep 12, 2026FC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 11-2L
Sep 6, 2026Sporting Cristal · Peruvian Liga 10-5L
Aug 29, 2026Juan Pablo II College · Peruvian Liga 13-4L
Aug 24, 2026Universitario · Peruvian Liga 10-3L
Aug 15, 2026FBC Melgar · Peruvian Liga 10-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Cienciano1479
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1679

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-0 CiencianoPeruvian Liga 1

Out and doubtful

Cienciano

No absences reported.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Cienciano

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Cabello5/5
  • K. Becerra4/5
  • N. Bandiera4/5
  • A. Hohberg3/5
  • A. Robles3/5
  • C. Garces3/5
  • G. Barreto3/5
  • M. Amondarain3/5
  • M. Martinich3/5
  • S. D. Arias Fierro3/5
  • C. Nunez2/5

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Pimienta5/5
  • J. Quintero5/5
  • O. Takeuchi5/5
  • F. Torres4/5
  • H. Camacho4/5
  • J. Palomino4/5
  • A. Quintana3/5
  • C. Velarde3/5
  • D. Gonzales3/5
  • H. Gonzalez3/5
  • K. Sanchez3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Frequently asked questions

What is the Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas prediction?

Our AI gives Cienciano a 11% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 52%. Club Deportivo Los Chankas are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

0-0 (28.9%), followed by 0-1 (27.8%), 0-2 (13.3%), 1-0 (8.1%) and 1-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

The probability that both Cienciano and Club Deportivo Los Chankas score is 15%. Cienciano have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 76%.

How many goals should we expect in Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

The model expects 1.24 goals (0.28 for Cienciano, 0.96 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 35%, over 2.5 goals 13%, over 3.5 goals 4%.

When and where is Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas played?

Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco.

What form are Cienciano and Club Deportivo Los Chankas in?

Cienciano: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Club Deportivo Los Chankas: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 17 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Cienciano and Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cienciano, 1 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-0 Cienciano (Apr 23, 2026).

How is the Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.28 for Cienciano, 0.96 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained