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Peruvian Liga 1Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima prediction: correct score and AI tips

Sporting CristalSporting Cristal–Alianza LimaAlianza Lima

Match analysis

Peruvian Liga 1: the Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima match is scheduled on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima. Sporting Cristal start as favourites with a 45% chance of victory; Alianza Lima are given 28% and the draw 27%.

Sporting Cristal are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Alianza Lima have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Sporting Cristal therefore arrive in far better shape than Alianza Lima. On average Sporting Cristal score 2.80 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Alianza Lima score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Sporting Cristal sit 2nd with 25 points from 13 games, Alianza Lima 7th with 22 points from 12. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Sporting Cristal have averaged 1.15 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.24 for Alianza Lima.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sporting Cristal, 0 for Alianza Lima and 1 draw. The most recent ended Alianza Lima 1-1 Sporting Cristal (May 10, 2026). In double chance terms, "Sporting Cristal or draw" stands at 72%, "Alianza Lima or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 73%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

45%
Sporting Cristal (Win)
27%
Draw
28%
Alianza Lima (Win)

Double chance

72%
Sporting Cristal or draw
55%
Alianza Lima or draw
73%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Sporting Cristal

DateOpponentScore
Oct 18, 2026Comerciantes Unidos · Peruvian Liga 14-2W
Oct 11, 2026UTC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 11-0W
Oct 1, 2026ADT · Copa De La Liga5-0W
Sep 27, 2026ADT · Copa De La Liga1-0W
Sep 19, 2026Atletico Grau · Peruvian Liga 13-1W

Alianza Lima

DateOpponentScore
Oct 18, 2026Atletico Grau · Peruvian Liga 13-1W
Oct 12, 2026Cusco · Peruvian Liga 12-1W
Oct 1, 2026Palestino · Club Friendlies1-2L
Sep 19, 2026ADT · Peruvian Liga 12-0W
Sep 13, 2026Universitario · Peruvian Liga 11-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sporting Cristal22513
Alianza Lima72212

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Alianza Lima 1-1 Sporting CristalPeruvian Liga 1

Out and doubtful

Sporting Cristal

No absences reported.

Alianza Lima

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Sporting Cristal

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Castro3/5
  • R. Lutiger3/5
  • A. Álvarez2/5
  • Agustín Álvarez2/5
  • Cristiano2/5
  • Diego Enríquez2/5
  • L. Abram2/5
  • L. Iberico2/5
  • L. Sosa2/5
  • Leandro Sosa2/5
  • Luis Iberico2/5

Alianza Lima

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Duarte5/5
  • E. Castillo4/5
  • F. Gaibor4/5
  • E. Pavez3/5
  • F. Girotti3/5
  • K. Quevedo3/5
  • M. Antoni3/5
  • G. Chavez2/5
  • G. Gentile2/5
  • J. Velez2/5
  • J. Vélez2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima prediction?

Our AI gives Sporting Cristal a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Alianza Lima 28%. Sporting Cristal are therefore favourites.

When and where is Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima played?

Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima.

What form are Sporting Cristal and Alianza Lima in?

Sporting Cristal: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 3 conceded). Alianza Lima: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Cristal and Alianza Lima?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sporting Cristal, 0 for Alianza Lima and 1 draw. The most recent ended Alianza Lima 1-1 Sporting Cristal (May 10, 2026).

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Key terms explained