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Liga MXLiga MX· Kick-off : Saturday, November 21, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

CF Pachuca vs Toluca prediction: correct score and AI tips

CF PachucaCF Pachuca–TolucaToluca

Match analysis

CF Pachuca take on Toluca on Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), a Liga MX fixture. Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto. Toluca start as favourites with a 48% chance of victory; CF Pachuca are given 29% and the draw 23%.

Over their last 5 matches, CF Pachuca have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Toluca have not won any of their last 5 matches (4 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average CF Pachuca score 2.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Toluca score 1.60 and concede 1.80. In the table, CF Pachuca sit 8th with 22 points from 16 games, Toluca 4th with 27 points from 16. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, CF Pachuca have averaged 1.30 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.89 for Toluca.

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for CF Pachuca, 0 for Toluca and 2 draws. The most recent ended CF Pachuca 2-0 Toluca (May 11, 2026). In double chance terms, "CF Pachuca or draw" stands at 52%, "Toluca or draw" at 71% and "no draw" at 77%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

29%
CF Pachuca (Win)
23%
Draw
48%
Toluca (Win)

Double chance

52%
CF Pachuca or draw
71%
Toluca or draw
77%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

CF Pachuca

DateOpponentScore
Oct 31, 2026Tigres UANL · Liga MX3-0W
Oct 26, 2026Club America · Liga MX2-1W
Oct 22, 2026Cruz Azul · Liga MX1-2L
Oct 19, 2026Monterrey · Liga MX1-2L
Oct 12, 2026Necaxa · Liga MX3-3D

Toluca

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Club America · Liga MX2-2D
Oct 25, 2026Leon · Liga MX1-1D
Oct 22, 2026Club Tijuana · Liga MX2-2D
Oct 18, 2026Atletico San Luis · Liga MX1-1D
Oct 10, 2026Tigres UANL · Liga MX2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
CF Pachuca82216
Toluca42716

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 11, 2026CF Pachuca 2-0 TolucaLiga MX
May 4, 2026Toluca 0-1 CF PachucaLiga MX
Mar 22, 2026CF Pachuca 1-1 TolucaLiga MX
Oct 27, 2025Toluca 2-2 CF PachucaLiga MX

Out and doubtful

CF Pachuca

No absences reported.

Toluca

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

CF Pachuca

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Moreno5/5
  • C. Rivera5/5
  • Eduardo Bauermann5/5
  • O. Idrissi5/5
  • R. Pizarro5/5
  • F. Venegas4/5
  • J. Berlanga4/5
  • N. Vallejo4/5
  • S. Rondon4/5
  • A. Bautista3/5
  • S. D. Barreto3/5

Toluca

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Pereira5/5
  • F. Romero5/5
  • Helinho5/5
  • J. Gallardo5/5
  • A. Vega3/5
  • E. Gutierrez3/5
  • N. Castro3/5
  • Paulinho3/5
  • Bruno Mendez2/5
  • E. del Villar2/5
  • F. Vinas2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the CF Pachuca vs Toluca prediction?

Our AI gives CF Pachuca a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Toluca 48%. Toluca are therefore favourites.

When and where is CF Pachuca vs Toluca played?

Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto.

What form are CF Pachuca and Toluca in?

CF Pachuca: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded). Toluca: 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between CF Pachuca and Toluca?

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for CF Pachuca, 0 for Toluca and 2 draws. The most recent ended CF Pachuca 2-0 Toluca (May 11, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained