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Argentine Primera DivisiónArgentine Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Independiente vs Boca Juniors prediction: correct score and AI tips

IndependienteIndependiente–Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors

Match analysis

Independiente take on Boca Juniors on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a Argentine Primera División fixture. Our model makes Boca Juniors clear favourites: a 62% chance of winning, against 24% for the draw and 14% for Independiente.

Over their last 5 matches, Independiente have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Boca Juniors have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Independiente score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Boca Juniors score 2.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Independiente sit 7th with 18 points from 12 games, Boca Juniors 2nd with 24 points from 13. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Independiente have averaged 0.61 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.60 for Boca Juniors.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Independiente, 0 for Boca Juniors and 1 draw. The most recent ended Boca Juniors 1-1 Independiente (Apr 11, 2026). In double chance terms, "Independiente or draw" stands at 38%, "Boca Juniors or draw" at 86% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

14%
Independiente (Win)
24%
Draw
62%
Boca Juniors (Win)

Double chance

38%
Independiente or draw
86%
Boca Juniors or draw
76%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Independiente

DateOpponentScore
Oct 12, 2026Talleres Cordoba · Argentine Primera División0-0D
Oct 2, 2026Instituto Cordoba · Argentine Primera División1-4L
Sep 19, 2026Union Santa Fe · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Sep 13, 2026San Lorenzo · Argentine Primera División1-1D
Sep 6, 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago · Argentine Primera División1-0W

Boca Juniors

DateOpponentScore
Oct 14, 2026Vasco DA Gama · CONMEBOL Sudamericana0-1L
Oct 9, 2026Instituto Cordoba · Argentine Primera División2-2D
Oct 3, 2026Union Santa Fe · Argentine Primera División3-0W
Sep 27, 2026Racing Club · Copa Argentina3-2W
Sep 20, 2026San Lorenzo · Argentine Primera División2-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Independiente71812
Boca Juniors22413

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Boca Juniors 1-1 IndependienteArgentine Primera División

Out and doubtful

Independiente

No absences reported.

Boca Juniors

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Independiente

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • I. Marcone5/5
  • M. Perez Curci5/5
  • R. Rey5/5
  • S. Montiel5/5
  • J. Arrayago4/5
  • J. Fedorco4/5
  • L. Godoy4/5
  • M. Abaldo4/5
  • M. Meza4/5
  • C. Avila3/5
  • F. Zabala3/5

Boca Juniors

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Blanco5/5
  • L. Di Lollo5/5
  • M. Delgado5/5
  • F. Herrera4/5
  • L. Flores4/5
  • L. Lozano4/5
  • A. Velasco3/5
  • L. Paredes3/5
  • Miguel Merentiel3/5
  • S. Ascacibar3/5
  • A. Montero2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Independiente vs Boca Juniors prediction?

Our AI gives Independiente a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Boca Juniors 62%. Boca Juniors are therefore favourites.

When and where is Independiente vs Boca Juniors played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Argentine Primera División.

What form are Independiente and Boca Juniors in?

Independiente: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). Boca Juniors: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Independiente and Boca Juniors?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Independiente, 0 for Boca Juniors and 1 draw. The most recent ended Boca Juniors 1-1 Independiente (Apr 11, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained