Ligue 2· Kick-off : Monday, October 26, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Montpellier 2-1 RED Star FC 93. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Montpellier was the model's favourite outcome (76%). The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (21%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (36%): missed.
Match analysis
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 was played on Monday, October 26, 2026 (Ligue 2, matchday 10). Venue: Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier. Before kick-off, our model gave Montpellier a 76% chance of winning, the draw 19% and RED Star FC 93 5%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (21.8%), ahead of 2-0 (20.4%) and 3-0 (12.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Montpellier have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, RED Star FC 93 have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Montpellier score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; RED Star FC 93 score 1.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Montpellier sit 3rd with 18 points from 9 games, RED Star FC 93 6th with 17 points from 9. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Montpellier have averaged 1.65 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.32 for RED Star FC 93.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Montpellier, 0 for RED Star FC 93 and 2 draws. The most recent ended RED Star FC 93 1-1 Montpellier (May 9, 2026). In double chance terms, "Montpellier or draw" stands at 95%, "RED Star FC 93 or draw" at 24% and "no draw" at 81%.
In short : Montpellier are favourites for this Montpellier v RED Star FC 93, with a 76% win probability from our model. In the table, Montpellier (3rd, 18 pts) host RED Star FC 93 (6th, 17 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Montpellier – RED Star FC 93. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (21.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 73% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Montpellier 1-0 RED Star FC 93 | 21.8% |
| Montpellier 2-0 RED Star FC 93 | 20.4% |
| Montpellier 3-0 RED Star FC 93 | 12.7% |
| Montpellier 0-0 RED Star FC 93 | 11.6% |
| Montpellier 1-1 RED Star FC 93 | 6.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.15 goals in total (1.87 for Montpellier, 0.28 for RED Star FC 93): over 2.5 goals has a 36% probability and both teams to score 21%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Montpellier keep a clean sheet in 76% of scenarios, RED Star FC 93 in 15%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Montpellier expected goals | 1.87 |
| RED Star FC 93 expected goals | 0.28 |
| Both teams to score | 21% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% |
| Montpellier clean sheet | 76% |
| RED Star FC 93 clean sheet | 15% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Montpellier
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Rodez · Ligue 2 | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble · Ligue 2 | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU · Ligue 2 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne · Ligue 2 | 1-3 | L |
RED Star FC 93
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Saint Etienne · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Clermont Foot · Ligue 2 | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Guingamp · Ligue 2 | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Metz · Ligue 2 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Laval · Ligue 2 | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 3 | 18 | 9 |
| RED Star FC 93 | 6 | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | RED Star FC 93 1-1 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Montpellier 1-1 RED Star FC 93 | Ligue 2 |
Out and doubtful
Montpellier
No absences reported.
RED Star FC 93
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Montpellier
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Meddah5/5
- F. Tardieu5/5
- J. Laporte5/5
- N. Pays5/5
- S. Ngapandouetnbu5/5
- T. Sainte-Luce5/5
- M. Camara4/5
- N. Mukiele4/5
- N. El Hannach3/5
- Y. Mouanga3/5
- N. Vidal-Cartoux2/5
RED Star FC 93
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Durivaux5/5
- G. Poussin5/5
- I. Halifa5/5
- D. Durand4/5
- E. Zidane4/5
- J. Ikanga4/5
- K. Cisse4/5
- M. Huard4/5
- S. Khaoui4/5
- S. Renel4/5
- T. Magnin4/5
Other matches in this competition
- Dunkerque 1-1 MetzOct 23, 2026
- PAU 2-1 GrenobleOct 23, 2026
- Nancy 1-0 LavalOct 23, 2026
- Clermont Foot 0-2 GuingampOct 23, 2026
- Sochaux 1-3 AnnecyOct 23, 2026
- Dijon 1-2 RodezOct 24, 2026
- Saint Etienne 1-0 NantesOct 24, 2026
- Boulogne 1-1 ReimsOct 26, 2026
- Metz 1-3 PAUOct 30, 2026
- Nantes 1-1 Clermont FootOct 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Montpellier a 76% chance of winning, the draw 19% and RED Star FC 93 5%. Montpellier are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93?
1-0 (21.8%), followed by 2-0 (20.4%), 3-0 (12.7%), 0-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (6.1%).
Will both teams score in Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93?
The probability that both Montpellier and RED Star FC 93 score is 21%. Montpellier have a 76% chance of keeping a clean sheet, RED Star FC 93 15%.
How many goals should we expect in Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93?
The model expects 2.15 goals (1.87 for Montpellier, 0.28 for RED Star FC 93). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 63%, over 2.5 goals 36%, over 3.5 goals 17%.
When and where is Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 played?
Monday, October 26, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 2, matchday 10. Venue: Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier.
What form are Montpellier and RED Star FC 93 in?
Montpellier: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). RED Star FC 93: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Montpellier and RED Star FC 93?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Montpellier, 0 for RED Star FC 93 and 2 draws. The most recent ended RED Star FC 93 1-1 Montpellier (May 9, 2026).
What was the Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Montpellier 2-1 RED Star FC 93. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Montpellier was the model's favourite outcome (76%). The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (21%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (36%): missed.
How is the Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.87 for Montpellier, 0.28 for RED Star FC 93) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Montpellier predictions
- All RED Star FC 93 predictions
- Ligue 2 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology