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CAF Champions LeagueCAF Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 13:00 (UK time)

15 de Agosto vs Simba: 1-6 result and AI prediction review

15 de Agosto15 de Agosto1 – 6SimbaSimba

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: 15 de Agosto 1-6 Simba. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for 15 de Agosto (48%), while victory for Simba was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

15 de Agosto and Simba met on Wednesday, October 21, 2026, a CAF Champions League fixture. Before kick-off, our model gave 15 de Agosto a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Simba 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, 15 de Agosto have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Simba are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 17 and conceding 3. Simba therefore arrive in far better shape than 15 de Agosto. On average 15 de Agosto score 2.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Simba score 3.40 and concede 0.60.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between 15 de Agosto and Simba: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "15 de Agosto or draw" stands at 74%, "Simba or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : 15 de Agosto are favourites for this 15 de Agosto v Simba, with a 48% win probability from our model. On recent form, 15 de Agosto have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Simba are in good shape (5 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

48%
15 de Agosto (Win)
26%
Draw
26%
Simba (Win)

Double chance

74%
15 de Agosto or draw
52%
Simba or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as 15 de Agosto – Simba. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
15 de Agosto 1-1 Simba12.1%
15 de Agosto 1-0 Simba11.3%
15 de Agosto 2-1 Simba9.4%
15 de Agosto 2-0 Simba8.7%
15 de Agosto 0-1 Simba7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.55 expected goals for 15 de Agosto and 1.07 for Simba, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. 15 de Agosto keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Simba in 21%.

Probability
15 de Agosto expected goals1.55
Simba expected goals1.07
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
15 de Agosto clean sheet34%
Simba clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

15 de Agosto

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026Fomboni Club · CAF Champions League1-0W
Sep 11, 2026Fomboni Club · CAF Champions League4-0W
Oct 26, 2025Stellenbosch · CAF Confederation Cup1-4L
Oct 18, 2025Stellenbosch · CAF Confederation Cup0-0D
Sep 21, 2025Foresters · CAF Confederation Cup4-0W

Simba

DateOpponentScore
Oct 13, 2026Mashujaa · Ligi kuu Bara6-1W
Oct 10, 2026Young Africans · Ligi kuu Bara2-1W
Sep 16, 2026Azam · Ligi kuu Bara2-0W
Sep 13, 2026Be Forward Wanderers · CAF Champions League6-1W
Sep 6, 2026Be Forward Wanderers · CAF Champions League1-0W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between 15 de Agosto and Simba: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

15 de Agosto

No absences reported.

Simba

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Simba

Starts over the last 2 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. A. Oura2/2
  • A. Mligo2/2
  • A. Rafiu Kassali2/2
  • C. Chama2/2
  • E. Mpanzu2/2
  • L. Gueye2/2
  • N. Chilambo2/2
  • N. Maema2/2
  • R. De Reuck2/2
  • Y. Kagoma2/2
  • O. Toure1/2

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the 15 de Agosto vs Simba prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave 15 de Agosto a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Simba 26%. 15 de Agosto are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-6.

What is the most likely correct score for 15 de Agosto vs Simba?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.7%) and 0-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in 15 de Agosto vs Simba?

The probability that both 15 de Agosto and Simba score is 52%. 15 de Agosto have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Simba 21%.

How many goals should we expect in 15 de Agosto vs Simba?

The model expects 2.62 goals (1.55 for 15 de Agosto, 1.07 for Simba). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is 15 de Agosto vs Simba played?

Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 13:00 (UK time), CAF Champions League.

What form are 15 de Agosto and Simba in?

15 de Agosto: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded). Simba: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (17 scored, 3 conceded).

What was the 15 de Agosto vs Simba result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: 15 de Agosto 1-6 Simba. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for 15 de Agosto (48%), while victory for Simba was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the 15 de Agosto vs Simba prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.55 for 15 de Agosto, 1.07 for Simba) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained