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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Friday, October 23, 2026, 02:00 (UK time)

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto prediction: correct score and AI tips

Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional–Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto

Match analysis

Atletico Nacional take on Deportivo Pasto on Friday, October 23, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot. With a 82% win probability, Atletico Nacional go in as strong favourites against Deportivo Pasto (6%), with the draw rated at 12%.

Atletico Nacional are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Deportivo Pasto have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Atletico Nacional score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Deportivo Pasto score 0.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Atletico Nacional sit 4th with 23 points from 11 games, Deportivo Pasto 20th with 9 points from 12. 16 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Nacional, 0 for Deportivo Pasto and 0 draws. The most recent ended Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico Nacional (Mar 30, 2026). In double chance terms, "Atletico Nacional or draw" stands at 94%, "Deportivo Pasto or draw" at 18% and "no draw" at 88%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

82%
Atletico Nacional (Win)
12%
Draw
6%
Deportivo Pasto (Win)

Double chance

94%
Atletico Nacional or draw
18%
Deportivo Pasto or draw
88%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Atletico Nacional

DateOpponentScore
Oct 15, 2026Independiente Medellin · Copa Colombia3-2W
Oct 9, 2026Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A0-0D
Oct 1, 2026Junior · Colombian Primera A3-1W
Sep 26, 2026Chapecoense-sc · Club Friendlies1-1D
Sep 25, 2026Millonarios · Colombian Primera A1-1D

Deportivo Pasto

DateOpponentScore
Oct 4, 2026Fortaleza FC · Colombian Primera A0-0D
Sep 26, 2026Chico · Colombian Primera A0-3L
Sep 20, 2026Once Caldas · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Sep 15, 2026America de Cali · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Sep 10, 2026Independiente Medellin · Copa Colombia1-4L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Atletico Nacional42311
Deportivo Pasto20912

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico NacionalColombian Primera A

Out and doubtful

Atletico Nacional

No absences reported.

Deportivo Pasto

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Atletico Nacional

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Roman3/4
  • E. Cabrera3/4
  • F. Armani3/4
  • I. Poveda3/4
  • M. Casco3/4
  • N. Parra3/4
  • Y. A. Perlaza Perea3/4
  • C. Haydar2/4
  • F. Marin2/4
  • J. Rodriguez2/4
  • J. Zapata2/4

Deportivo Pasto

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Garavito5/5
  • F. Leys4/5
  • G. Banguera4/5
  • H. Goyes4/5
  • J. Perlaza4/5
  • N. Gil4/5
  • J. Rios3/5
  • D. Chávez2/5
  • D. Osede2/5
  • E. C. Serje Orozco2/5
  • E. Serje2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto prediction?

Our AI gives Atletico Nacional a 82% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Deportivo Pasto 6%. Atletico Nacional are therefore favourites.

When and where is Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto played?

Friday, October 23, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

What form are Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Pasto in?

Atletico Nacional: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). Deportivo Pasto: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Pasto?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Nacional, 0 for Deportivo Pasto and 0 draws. The most recent ended Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico Nacional (Mar 30, 2026).

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Key terms explained