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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 23:10 (UK time)

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin prediction: correct score and AI tips

Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional–Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin

Match analysis

Colombian Primera A: the Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin match is scheduled on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 23:10 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Our model makes Atletico Nacional clear favourites: a 64% chance of winning, against 22% for the draw and 14% for Independiente Medellin.

Atletico Nacional are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Independiente Medellin have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 9. Atletico Nacional therefore arrive in far better shape than Independiente Medellin. On average Atletico Nacional score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Independiente Medellin score 1.20 and concede 1.80. In the table, Atletico Nacional sit 4th with 23 points from 11 games, Independiente Medellin 5th with 23 points from 13. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Nacional, 0 for Independiente Medellin and 0 draws. The most recent ended Independiente Medellin 2-3 Atletico Nacional (Apr 12, 2026). In double chance terms, "Atletico Nacional or draw" stands at 86%, "Independiente Medellin or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

64%
Atletico Nacional (Win)
22%
Draw
14%
Independiente Medellin (Win)

Double chance

86%
Atletico Nacional or draw
36%
Independiente Medellin or draw
78%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Atletico Nacional

DateOpponentScore
Oct 15, 2026Independiente Medellin · Copa Colombia3-2W
Oct 9, 2026Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A0-0D
Oct 1, 2026Junior · Colombian Primera A3-1W
Sep 26, 2026Chapecoense-sc · Club Friendlies1-1D
Sep 25, 2026Millonarios · Colombian Primera A1-1D

Independiente Medellin

DateOpponentScore
Oct 15, 2026Atletico Nacional · Copa Colombia2-3L
Oct 12, 2026America de Cali · Colombian Primera A2-1W
Oct 6, 2026Santa Fe · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Sep 30, 2026Millonarios · Colombian Primera A2-2D
Sep 27, 2026Junior · Colombian Primera A0-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Atletico Nacional42311
Independiente Medellin52313

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Independiente Medellin 2-3 Atletico NacionalColombian Primera A

Out and doubtful

Atletico Nacional

No absences reported.

Independiente Medellin

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Atletico Nacional

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Roman3/4
  • E. Cabrera3/4
  • F. Armani3/4
  • I. Poveda3/4
  • M. Casco3/4
  • N. Parra3/4
  • Y. A. Perlaza Perea3/4
  • C. Haydar2/4
  • F. Marin2/4
  • J. Rodriguez2/4
  • J. Zapata2/4

Independiente Medellin

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Moreno5/5
  • H. Palacios5/5
  • A. Martegani4/5
  • E. Chaux4/5
  • E. Mena Perea4/5
  • J. Montano4/5
  • L. Escorcia4/5
  • A. Simarra3/5
  • C. Lucumi3/5
  • H. Loboa3/5
  • Yony Gonzalez3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin prediction?

Our AI gives Atletico Nacional a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Independiente Medellin 14%. Atletico Nacional are therefore favourites.

When and where is Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 23:10 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

What form are Atletico Nacional and Independiente Medellin in?

Atletico Nacional: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). Independiente Medellin: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Nacional and Independiente Medellin?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Nacional, 0 for Independiente Medellin and 0 draws. The most recent ended Independiente Medellin 2-3 Atletico Nacional (Apr 12, 2026).

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Key terms explained