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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Thursday, November 12, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Atletico Nacional take on Once Caldas on Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Atletico Nacional start as favourites with a 47% chance of victory; Once Caldas are given 28% and the draw 25%.

Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Nacional have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Once Caldas are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Atletico Nacional score 1.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Once Caldas score 1.40 and concede 0.40. In the table, Atletico Nacional sit 1st with 39 points from 18 games, Once Caldas 8th with 27 points from 18. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Atletico Nacional have averaged 1.20 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.57 for Once Caldas.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Atletico Nacional, 1 for Once Caldas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Once Caldas 1-0 Atletico Nacional (May 2, 2026). In double chance terms, "Atletico Nacional or draw" stands at 72%, "Once Caldas or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

47%
Atletico Nacional (Win)
25%
Draw
28%
Once Caldas (Win)

Double chance

72%
Atletico Nacional or draw
53%
Once Caldas or draw
75%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Atletico Nacional

DateOpponentScore
Nov 3, 2026Bucaramanga · Colombian Primera A1-1D
Oct 30, 2026Santa Fe · Colombian Primera A2-0W
Oct 25, 2026Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A2-1W
Oct 23, 2026Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A3-0W
Oct 21, 2026Cucuta · Colombian Primera A0-1L

Once Caldas

DateOpponentScore
Nov 2, 2026Santa Fe · Copa Colombia2-0W
Oct 28, 2026Alianza Valledupar · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Oct 25, 2026Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A1-1D
Oct 21, 2026Millonarios · Colombian Primera A1-1D
Oct 18, 2026Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A2-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Atletico Nacional13918
Once Caldas82718

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Once Caldas 1-0 Atletico NacionalColombian Primera A

Out and doubtful

Atletico Nacional

No absences reported.

Once Caldas

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Atletico Nacional

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Armani4/5
  • F. Marin4/5
  • A. Reyes3/5
  • A. Roman3/5
  • E. Cabrera3/5
  • E. Cardona3/5
  • J. Campuzano3/5
  • J. Rodriguez3/5
  • S. Velasquez3/5
  • W. Tesillo3/5
  • A. Sarmiento2/5

Once Caldas

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Colorado4/4
  • D. Londono4/4
  • J. A. Zapata Ramirez4/4
  • J. Cardona4/4
  • J. D. Cuesta Santos4/4
  • J. Nieto4/4
  • J. Parra4/4
  • J. Patino4/4
  • J. Quinones4/4
  • M. Barrios4/4
  • P. Gomez4/4

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas prediction?

Our AI gives Atletico Nacional a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Once Caldas 28%. Atletico Nacional are therefore favourites.

When and where is Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas played?

Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

What form are Atletico Nacional and Once Caldas in?

Atletico Nacional: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded). Once Caldas: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Nacional and Once Caldas?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Atletico Nacional, 1 for Once Caldas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Once Caldas 1-0 Atletico Nacional (May 2, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained