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Chilean Primera DivisiónChilean Primera División· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)

Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato prediction: correct score and AI tips

Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion–HuachipatoHuachipato

Match analysis

Chilean Primera División, matchday 23: Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato kicks off on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Ester Roa. The edge goes to Universidad de Concepcion (45%), ahead of the draw (26%) and a Huachipato win (29%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.3%), ahead of 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.1%).

Universidad de Concepcion have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Huachipato have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 12. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Universidad de Concepcion score 0.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Huachipato score 0.80 and concede 2.40. In the table, Universidad de Concepcion sit 15th with 22 points from 22 games, Huachipato 13th with 25 points from 21. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Universidad de Concepcion, 1 for Huachipato and 0 draws. The most recent ended Huachipato 5-1 Universidad de Concepcion (Apr 7, 2026). In double chance terms, "Universidad de Concepcion or draw" stands at 71%, "Huachipato or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : Universidad de Concepcion are favourites for this Universidad de Concepcion v Huachipato, with a 45% win probability from our model. On recent form, Universidad de Concepcion are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Huachipato have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

45%
Universidad de Concepcion (Win)
26%
Draw
29%
Huachipato (Win)

Double chance

71%
Universidad de Concepcion or draw
55%
Huachipato or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Universidad de Concepcion – Huachipato. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Universidad de Concepcion 1-1 Huachipato12.3%
Universidad de Concepcion 1-0 Huachipato10.9%
Universidad de Concepcion 2-1 Huachipato9.1%
Universidad de Concepcion 0-1 Huachipato8.4%
Universidad de Concepcion 2-0 Huachipato8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.60 goals in total (1.47 for Universidad de Concepcion, 1.13 for Huachipato): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Universidad de Concepcion keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Huachipato in 23%.

Probability
Universidad de Concepcion expected goals1.47
Huachipato expected goals1.13
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Universidad de Concepcion clean sheet32%
Huachipato clean sheet23%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Universidad de Concepcion

DateOpponentScore
Sep 6, 2026Palestino · Chilean Primera División1-2L
Sep 2, 2026Coquimbo Unido · Chilean Primera División0-1L
Aug 30, 2026Universidad de Chile · Chilean Primera División2-1W
Aug 25, 2026Everton de Vina · Chilean Primera División1-3L
Aug 15, 2026D. La Serena · Chilean Primera División0-2L

Huachipato

DateOpponentScore
Sep 16, 2026Coquimbo Unido · Chilean Primera División1-0W
Sep 6, 2026Colo Colo · Chilean Primera División0-0D
Aug 22, 2026Deportes Limache · Chilean Primera División1-3L
Aug 18, 2026Palestino · Chilean Primera División1-5L
Aug 8, 2026Everton de Vina · Chilean Primera División1-4L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Universidad de Concepcion152222
Huachipato132521

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 7, 2026Huachipato 5-1 Universidad de ConcepcionChilean Primera División

Out and doubtful

Universidad de Concepcion

No absences reported.

Huachipato

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Universidad de Concepcion

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Waterman5/5
  • L. Rojas5/5
  • O. Gonzalez5/5
  • B. Ogaz4/5
  • J. Broun4/5
  • J. Fuentealba4/5
  • M. Barbieri4/5
  • A. Diaz3/5
  • M. Gonzalez3/5
  • R. Funes Mori3/5
  • B. Saez2/5

Huachipato

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Sepulveda5/5
  • M. A. Leon Munoz5/5
  • M. Briceno5/5
  • R. Caroca5/5
  • C. Bravo4/5
  • N. Vargas4/5
  • C. Toro3/5
  • L. Altamirano3/5
  • S. Nunez3/5
  • C. Martinez2/5
  • E. Canete2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Frequently asked questions

What is the Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato prediction?

Our AI gives Universidad de Concepcion a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Huachipato 29%. Universidad de Concepcion are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato?

1-1 (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (10.9%), 2-1 (9.1%), 0-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato?

The probability that both Universidad de Concepcion and Huachipato score is 52%. Universidad de Concepcion have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Huachipato 23%.

How many goals should we expect in Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato?

The model expects 2.60 goals (1.47 for Universidad de Concepcion, 1.13 for Huachipato). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato played?

Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 23. Venue: Estadio Ester Roa.

What form are Universidad de Concepcion and Huachipato in?

Universidad de Concepcion: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded). Huachipato: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 12 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Universidad de Concepcion and Huachipato?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Universidad de Concepcion, 1 for Huachipato and 0 draws. The most recent ended Huachipato 5-1 Universidad de Concepcion (Apr 7, 2026).

How is the Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.47 for Universidad de Concepcion, 1.13 for Huachipato) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained