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Uruguayan Primera DivisiónUruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 13:00 (UK time)

Wanderers vs Progreso prediction: correct score and AI tips

WanderersWanderers–ProgresoProgreso

Match analysis

Uruguayan Primera División: Wanderers vs Progreso kicks off on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 13:00 (UK time). Wanderers start as favourites with a 56% chance of victory; Progreso are given 20% and the draw 24%.

Over their last 5 matches, Wanderers have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Progreso have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Wanderers score 1.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Progreso score 1.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, Wanderers sit 8th with 15 points from 10 games, Progreso 9th with 13 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Wanderers, 1 for Progreso and 0 draws. The most recent ended Wanderers 2-0 Progreso (Jul 11, 2026). In double chance terms, "Wanderers or draw" stands at 80%, "Progreso or draw" at 44% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

56%
Wanderers (Win)
24%
Draw
20%
Progreso (Win)

Double chance

80%
Wanderers or draw
44%
Progreso or draw
76%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Wanderers

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Boston River · Uruguayan Primera División1-3L
Oct 7, 2026Cerrito · Copa Uruguay2-2D
Oct 4, 2026Cerro · Uruguayan Primera División2-0W
Sep 29, 2026Albion FC · Uruguayan Primera División2-1W
Sep 24, 2026Cerrito · Copa Uruguay1-3L

Progreso

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División1-1D
Oct 3, 2026Liverpool Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División2-3L
Sep 26, 2026Racing Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División2-1W
Sep 19, 2026Boston River · Uruguayan Primera División2-1W
Sep 16, 2026Club Nacional · Copa Uruguay0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Wanderers81510
Progreso91310

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 11, 2026Wanderers 2-0 ProgresoUruguayan Primera División
Apr 18, 2026Progreso 2-1 WanderersUruguayan Primera División

Out and doubtful

Wanderers

No absences reported.

Progreso

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Wanderers

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Buffa3/3
  • F. Formiliano3/3
  • F. Labandeira3/3
  • J. Alberti3/3
  • J. Zeballos3/3
  • L. Cosentino3/3
  • N. Cabral3/3
  • N. Furtado3/3
  • N. Queiroz3/3
  • S. Benitez3/3
  • D. J. Mencia Hernandez2/3

Progreso

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Cougo4/4
  • A. Ocampo4/4
  • A. Pinheiro4/4
  • M. Martin4/4
  • M. Saravia4/4
  • N. Lopez4/4
  • R. Bacchia4/4
  • R. Cristobal4/4
  • G. Trasante3/4
  • M. Juambeltz3/4
  • E. Alvarez2/4

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Wanderers vs Progreso prediction?

Our AI gives Wanderers a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Progreso 20%. Wanderers are therefore favourites.

When and where is Wanderers vs Progreso played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 13:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División.

What form are Wanderers and Progreso in?

Wanderers: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded). Progreso: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Wanderers and Progreso?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Wanderers, 1 for Progreso and 0 draws. The most recent ended Wanderers 2-0 Progreso (Jul 11, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained