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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Thursday, November 19, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)

Gremio vs Bahia prediction: correct score and AI tips

GremioGremio–BahiaBahia

Match analysis

Gremio take on Bahia on Thursday, November 19, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 35 fixture. Venue: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre. It is a tight call: 35% for Gremio, 24% for the draw and 41% for Bahia.

Over their last 5 matches, Gremio have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Bahia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Gremio therefore arrive in far better shape than Bahia. On average Gremio score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Bahia score 1.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Gremio sit 17th with 37 points from 33 games, Bahia 6th with 53 points from 33. 11 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Gremio have averaged 1.48 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.51 for Bahia.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gremio, 0 for Bahia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Bahia 1-1 Gremio (May 17, 2026). Gremio out or doubtful: Carlos Vinicius (suspended), Danilo Barbosa, Diego Caito, J. Nardoni, C. Pavon, Weverton (suspended) and J. Cabral (doubtful). Bahia: Leo Vieira. In double chance terms, "Gremio or draw" stands at 59%, "Bahia or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

35%
Gremio (Win)
24%
Draw
41%
Bahia (Win)

Double chance

59%
Gremio or draw
65%
Bahia or draw
76%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Gremio

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Atletico-MG · Copa do Brasil2-0W
Oct 30, 2026Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A2-0W
Oct 26, 2026Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Oct 18, 2026Cruzeiro · Brasileirão Série A2-4L
Oct 11, 2026Internacional · Brasileirão Série A1-1D

Bahia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A3-2W
Oct 25, 2026Santos · Brasileirão Série A1-1D
Oct 18, 2026Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A0-3L
Oct 11, 2026Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Oct 9, 2026Palmeiras · Brasileirão Série A0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Gremio173733
Bahia65333

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Bahia 1-1 GremioBrasileirão Série A

Out and doubtful

Gremio

  • Carlos Vinicius (suspended)
  • Danilo Barbosa (out)
  • Diego Caito (out)
  • J. Nardoni (out)
  • C. Pavon (out)
  • Weverton (suspended)
  • J. Cabral (doubtful)

Bahia

  • Leo Vieira (out)

Most regular starters

Gremio

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Amuzu5/5
  • M. Villasanti5/5
  • Marlon5/5
  • Weverton5/5
  • Carlos Vinicius4/5
  • Gustavo Martins4/5
  • Wallace4/5
  • C. Pavon3/5
  • Diego Caito3/5
  • E. Noriega3/5
  • Danilo Barbosa2/5

Bahia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Veliz5/5
  • C. Olivera5/5
  • David Duarte5/5
  • Erick Pulga5/5
  • Luciano Juba5/5
  • Rodrigo5/5
  • Ronaldo Strada5/5
  • Jean Lucas4/5
  • Marcos Victor4/5
  • Nicolas Acevedo4/5
  • M. Moreno3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Gremio vs Bahia prediction?

Our AI gives Gremio a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bahia 41%. Bahia are therefore slight favourites.

When and where is Gremio vs Bahia played?

Thursday, November 19, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 35. Venue: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre.

What form are Gremio and Bahia in?

Gremio: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). Bahia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Gremio and Bahia?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gremio, 0 for Bahia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Bahia 1-1 Gremio (May 17, 2026).

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Key terms explained