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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)

Santos vs Gremio prediction: correct score and AI tips

SantosSantos–GremioGremio

Match analysis

Santos take on Gremio on Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 36 fixture. Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos. With a 62% win probability, Santos go in as strong favourites against Gremio (18%), with the draw rated at 20%.

Santos have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Gremio have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Gremio. On average Santos score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Gremio score 1.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Santos sit 9th with 47 points from 34 games, Gremio 18th with 37 points from 34. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Santos have averaged 1.72 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.25 for Gremio.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Santos, 1 for Gremio and 0 draws. The most recent ended Gremio 3-2 Santos (May 23, 2026). Santos out or doubtful: G. Escobar, Gabriel Brazao, Joao Schmidt (suspended), Lucas Verissimo, Neymar (suspended), Thaciano, Vinicius Lira and Willian Arao. Gremio: Carlos Vinicius (suspended), Danilo Barbosa, Diego Caito, J. Nardoni, C. Pavon, Weverton (suspended) and J. Cabral (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Santos or draw" stands at 82%, "Gremio or draw" at 38% and "no draw" at 80%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

62%
Santos (Win)
20%
Draw
18%
Gremio (Win)

Double chance

82%
Santos or draw
38%
Gremio or draw
80%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Santos

DateOpponentScore
Nov 2, 2026RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Oct 28, 2026Palmeiras · Brasileirão Série A0-0D
Oct 25, 2026Bahia · Brasileirão Série A1-1D
Oct 18, 2026Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Oct 11, 2026Atletico-MG · Brasileirão Série A1-2L

Gremio

DateOpponentScore
Nov 4, 2026Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A1-3L
Nov 1, 2026Atletico-MG · Copa do Brasil2-0W
Oct 30, 2026Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A2-0W
Oct 26, 2026Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Oct 18, 2026Cruzeiro · Brasileirão Série A2-4L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Santos94734
Gremio183734

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Gremio 3-2 SantosBrasileirão Série A

Out and doubtful

Santos

  • G. Escobar (out)
  • Gabriel Brazao (out)
  • Joao Schmidt (suspended)
  • Lucas Verissimo (out)
  • Neymar (suspended)
  • Thaciano (out)
  • Vinicius Lira (out)
  • Willian Arao (out)

Gremio

  • Carlos Vinicius (suspended)
  • Danilo Barbosa (out)
  • Diego Caito (out)
  • J. Nardoni (out)
  • C. Pavon (out)
  • Weverton (suspended)
  • J. Cabral (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Santos

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Diogenes5/5
  • Gabriel Barbosa5/5
  • Gabriel Bontempo5/5
  • Rodinei5/5
  • Everton4/5
  • Gustavo Henrique4/5
  • Luan Peres4/5
  • A. Barreal3/5
  • Coutinho3/5
  • C. Oliva2/5
  • Joao Alencar2/5

Gremio

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Gustavo Martins5/5
  • M. Villasanti5/5
  • E. Noriega4/5
  • F. Amuzu4/5
  • Marlon4/5
  • Weverton4/5
  • Carlos Vinicius3/5
  • Wallace3/5
  • C. Pavon2/5
  • Diego Caito2/5
  • Fabian Balbuena2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Santos vs Gremio prediction?

Our AI gives Santos a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gremio 18%. Santos are therefore favourites.

When and where is Santos vs Gremio played?

Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 36. Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos.

What form are Santos and Gremio in?

Santos: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). Gremio: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Santos and Gremio?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Santos, 1 for Gremio and 0 draws. The most recent ended Gremio 3-2 Santos (May 23, 2026).

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Key terms explained