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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Lazio vs Parma prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Lazio take on Parma on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a Serie A, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome. With a 95% win probability, Lazio go in as strong favourites against Parma (1%), with the draw rated at 4%.

Lazio are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 6. Parma have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Lazio. On average Lazio score 2.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Parma score 0.80 and concede 1.80. In the table, Lazio sit 2nd with 16 points from 6 games, Parma 18th with 4 points from 6. 16 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Lazio have averaged 1.82 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.72 for Parma.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Lazio, 0 for Parma and 1 draw. The most recent ended Lazio 1-1 Parma (Apr 4, 2026). Lazio out or doubtful: Patric, A. Furlanetto, A. Gudmundsson, M. Cancellieri (doubtful), A. Marusic (doubtful) and N. Rovella (doubtful). Parma: P. Almqvist, A. Ndiaye and H. Nicolussi Caviglia. In double chance terms, "Lazio or draw" stands at 99%, "Parma or draw" at 5% and "no draw" at 96%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

95%
Lazio (Win)
4%
Draw
1%
Parma (Win)

Double chance

99%
Lazio or draw
5%
Parma or draw
96%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Lazio

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Monza · Serie A3-1W
Oct 3, 2026Juve Stabia · Club Friendlies3-3D
Sep 27, 2026Arezzo · Club Friendlies2-0W
Sep 19, 2026Venezia · Serie A2-0W
Sep 12, 2026AC Milan · Serie A2-2D

Parma

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Inter · Serie A0-3L
Sep 20, 2026Genoa · Serie A2-1W
Sep 14, 2026Como · Serie A1-2L
Sep 6, 2026Monza · Serie A1-1D
Sep 1, 2026Cremonese · Coppa Italia0-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Lazio2166
Parma1846

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Lazio 1-1 ParmaSerie A
Dec 13, 2025Parma 0-1 LazioSerie A

Out and doubtful

Lazio

  • Patric (out)
  • A. Furlanetto (out)
  • A. Gudmundsson (out)
  • M. Cancellieri (doubtful)
  • A. Marusic (doubtful)
  • N. Rovella (doubtful)

Parma

  • P. Almqvist (out)
  • A. Ndiaye (out)
  • H. Nicolussi Caviglia (out)

Most regular starters

Lazio

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Zaccagni5/5
  • R. Belahyane5/5
  • R. Floriani5/5
  • T. Noslin5/5
  • C. Mandas3/5
  • D. Doekhi3/5
  • D. Frattesi3/5
  • K. Taylor3/5
  • N. Tavares3/5
  • O. Provstgaard3/5
  • A. Pedraza2/5

Parma

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Diego Carlos4/5
  • E. Corvi4/5
  • E. Valeri4/5
  • M. Keita4/5
  • M. Troilo4/5
  • E. B. Toure3/5
  • E. Delprato3/5
  • G. Fabbian3/5
  • N. Elphege3/5
  • S. Britschgi3/5
  • V. Sierro3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Lazio vs Parma prediction?

Our AI gives Lazio a 95% chance of winning, the draw 4% and Parma 1%. Lazio are therefore favourites.

When and where is Lazio vs Parma played?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 8. Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

What form are Lazio and Parma in?

Lazio: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded). Parma: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Lazio and Parma?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Lazio, 0 for Parma and 1 draw. The most recent ended Lazio 1-1 Parma (Apr 4, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained