Serie A· Kick-off : Monday, November 23, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Monza vs Fiorentina prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Serie A, matchday 12: Monza vs Fiorentina kicks off on Monday, November 23, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time). Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Monza 39%, Fiorentina 38% and the draw 23%.
Monza have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 12. Fiorentina have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 10 and conceding 11. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Monza score 1.80 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Fiorentina score 2.00 and concede 2.20. In the table, Monza sit 18th with 7 points from 11 games, Fiorentina 15th with 9 points from 11. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Monza have averaged 1.53 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.69 for Fiorentina.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Monza and Fiorentina: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Fiorentina: R. Sottil. In double chance terms, "Monza or draw" stands at 62%, "Fiorentina or draw" at 61% and "no draw" at 77%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Monza
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bologna · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Torino · Serie A | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Cagliari · Serie A | 4-0 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lazio · Serie A | 1-3 | L |
Fiorentina
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Juventus · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Sassuolo · Serie A | 4-2 | W |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Atalanta · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Inter · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Como · Serie A | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | 18 | 7 | 11 |
| Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 11 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Monza and Fiorentina: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Monza
No absences reported.
Fiorentina
- R. Sottil (out)
Most regular starters
Monza
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- S. Birindelli5/5
- L. Lucchesi4/5
- S. Goglichidze4/5
- A. Carboni3/5
- E. Akinsanmiro3/5
- E. Kouadio3/5
- G. Varela3/5
- N. Tornqvist3/5
- R. Mangas3/5
- C. Ngonge2/5
- D. Mota2/5
Fiorentina
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Njie5/5
- C. Ndour5/5
- N. Fagioli4/5
- Viery4/5
- Álex Jiménez3/5
- David de Gea3/5
- Franco Mastantuono3/5
- João Mário3/5
- M. Brescianini3/5
- Mateo Pellegrino3/5
- R. Drăgușin3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Como – CagliariNov 21, 2026
- Lazio – LecceNov 21, 2026
- Parma – AS RomaNov 21, 2026
- Napoli – TorinoNov 21, 2026
- Sassuolo – GenoaNov 22, 2026
- AC Milan – FrosinoneNov 22, 2026
- Bologna – UdineseNov 22, 2026
- Atalanta – InterNov 22, 2026
- Juventus – VeneziaNov 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Monza vs Fiorentina prediction?
Our AI gives Monza a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fiorentina 38%. Monza are therefore slight favourites.
When and where is Monza vs Fiorentina played?
Monday, November 23, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 12.
What form are Monza and Fiorentina in?
Monza: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 12 conceded). Fiorentina: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 11 conceded).
Go further
- All Monza predictions
- All Fiorentina predictions
- Serie A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology