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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Parma vs Bologna prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Parma take on Bologna on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), a Serie A, matchday 11 fixture. Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma. Our model makes Bologna clear favourites: a 63% chance of winning, against 22% for the draw and 15% for Parma.

Parma have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Bologna have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Bologna therefore arrive in far better shape than Parma. On average Parma score 0.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Bologna score 2.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Parma sit 19th with 5 points from 9 games, Bologna 11th with 11 points from 9. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Parma have averaged 0.92 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.54 for Bologna.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Parma, 2 for Bologna and 0 draws. The most recent ended Bologna 0-1 Parma (Feb 8, 2026). Parma out or doubtful: N. Elphege and L. Valenti. Bologna: L. De Silvestri (doubtful), J. Enem (doubtful), E. Holm, R. Orsolini and R. Piccoli. In double chance terms, "Parma or draw" stands at 37%, "Bologna or draw" at 85% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

15%
Parma (Win)
22%
Draw
63%
Bologna (Win)

Double chance

37%
Parma or draw
85%
Bologna or draw
78%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Parma

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026Udinese · Serie A0-0D
Oct 24, 2026Lazio · Serie A1-2L
Oct 19, 2026Torino · Serie A0-3L
Oct 10, 2026Inter · Serie A0-3L
Sep 20, 2026Genoa · Serie A2-1W

Bologna

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026AC Milan · Serie A4-2W
Oct 24, 2026Cagliari · Serie A2-0W
Oct 17, 2026Inter · Serie A1-3L
Oct 11, 2026Lecce · Serie A2-1W
Sep 19, 2026Torino · Serie A1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Parma1959
Bologna11119

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026Bologna 0-1 ParmaSerie A
Dec 4, 2025Bologna 2-1 ParmaCoppa Italia
Nov 2, 2025Parma 1-3 BolognaSerie A

Out and doubtful

Parma

  • N. Elphege (out)
  • L. Valenti (out)

Bologna

  • L. De Silvestri (doubtful)
  • J. Enem (doubtful)
  • E. Holm (out)
  • R. Orsolini (out)
  • R. Piccoli (out)

Most regular starters

Parma

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Keita5/5
  • M. Troilo5/5
  • D. Romero4/5
  • Diego Carlos4/5
  • E. B. Toure4/5
  • E. Corvi4/5
  • E. Delprato4/5
  • E. Valeri4/5
  • V. Sierro4/5
  • D. Drobnic3/5
  • F. Carboni2/5

Bologna

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Ferguson5/5
  • N. Zortea5/5
  • T. Pobega5/5
  • A. Theate4/5
  • F. Bernardeschi4/5
  • J. Miranda4/5
  • M. Darmian4/5
  • N. Cambiaghi4/5
  • N. Casale4/5
  • L. Skorupski3/5
  • R. Piccoli3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Parma vs Bologna prediction?

Our AI gives Parma a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bologna 63%. Bologna are therefore favourites.

When and where is Parma vs Bologna played?

Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 11. Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma.

What form are Parma and Bologna in?

Parma: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded). Bologna: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Bologna?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Parma, 2 for Bologna and 0 draws. The most recent ended Bologna 0-1 Parma (Feb 8, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained