Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Avellino vs Padova prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Serie B, matchday 8: the Avellino vs Padova match is scheduled on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino. Our model makes Avellino clear favourites: a 71% chance of winning, against 19% for the draw and 10% for Padova.
Over their last 5 matches, Avellino have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Padova have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Avellino therefore arrive in far better shape than Padova. On average Avellino score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Padova score 0.80 and concede 1.60. In the table, Avellino sit 6th with 10 points from 6 games, Padova 11th with 7 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Avellino have averaged 1.40 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.83 for Padova.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Avellino, 0 for Padova and 1 draw. The most recent ended Avellino 1-0 Padova (Mar 7, 2026). In double chance terms, "Avellino or draw" stands at 90%, "Padova or draw" at 29% and "no draw" at 81%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Avellino
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sampdoria · Serie B | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ascoli · Serie B | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Palermo · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Modena · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus · Serie B | 3-0 | W |
Padova
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese · Serie B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo · Serie B | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese · Serie B | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| Padova | 11 | 7 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Avellino 1-0 Padova | Serie B |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Padova 2-2 Avellino | Serie B |
Out and doubtful
Avellino
No absences reported.
Padova
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Avellino
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Izzo5/5
- B. Moruzzi5/5
- M. Besaggio5/5
- M. Palumbo5/5
- P. Enrici5/5
- R. Russo5/5
- T. Martinelli5/5
- F. Missori3/5
- L. Di Maggio3/5
- M. Venturi3/5
- A. Favilli2/5
Padova
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Dellavalle5/5
- A. Sorrentino5/5
- E. Zuelli5/5
- L. Moro5/5
- M. Lovato5/5
- C. Pastina4/5
- M. Cocchi4/5
- P. Fusi4/5
- G. Caprari3/5
- L. Carissoni3/5
- M. Pompetti3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Empoli – Vicenza VirtusOct 23, 2026
- Virtus Entella – MantovaOct 24, 2026
- Cremonese – Juve StabiaOct 24, 2026
- Modena – CesenaOct 24, 2026
- Sudtirol – SampdoriaOct 24, 2026
- Catanzaro – AscoliOct 24, 2026
- Arezzo – BeneventoOct 24, 2026
- Palermo – CarrareseOct 25, 2026
- Hellas Verona – PisaOct 25, 2026
- Benevento – CatanzaroOct 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Avellino vs Padova prediction?
Our AI gives Avellino a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Padova 10%. Avellino are therefore favourites.
When and where is Avellino vs Padova played?
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 8. Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino.
What form are Avellino and Padova in?
Avellino: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). Padova: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Avellino and Padova?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Avellino, 0 for Padova and 1 draw. The most recent ended Avellino 1-0 Padova (Mar 7, 2026).