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Taça de PortugalTaça de Portugal· Kick-off : Saturday, November 21, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Mafra vs Arouca prediction: correct score and AI tips

MafraMafra–AroucaArouca

Match analysis

Taça de Portugal: Mafra vs Arouca kicks off on Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Mafra 37%, Arouca 35% and the draw 28%.

Over their last 5 matches, Mafra have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Arouca have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Arouca. On average Mafra score 1.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Arouca score 1.40 and concede 0.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Mafra and Arouca: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Mafra or draw" stands at 65%, "Arouca or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 72%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

37%
Mafra (Win)
28%
Draw
35%
Arouca (Win)

Double chance

65%
Mafra or draw
63%
Arouca or draw
72%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Mafra

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026CF Os Belenenses · Liga 32-2D
Sep 19, 2026Tirsense · Taça de Portugal2-2D
Sep 12, 2026Oliveirense · Liga 31-2L
Sep 5, 2026SC Covilha · Liga 31-0W
Aug 29, 2026Atlético Malveira · Taça de Portugal3-2W

Arouca

DateOpponentScore
Nov 6, 2026Famalicao · Primeira Liga0-1L
Nov 1, 2026Nacional · Primeira Liga1-0W
Oct 24, 2026Alverca · Primeira Liga1-0W
Oct 18, 2026CF Os Belenenses · Taça de Portugal4-3W
Oct 11, 2026Estrela · Primeira Liga1-0W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Mafra and Arouca: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Mafra

No absences reported.

Arouca

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Mafra

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Ba3/3
  • B. Sambu3/3
  • G. Cardoso3/3
  • Leandro Alves3/3
  • M. Camara3/3
  • M. Niang3/3
  • P. Silva3/3
  • R. Matos3/3
  • J. Ferreira2/3
  • K. Alves2/3
  • Xico2/3

Arouca

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Trezza5/5
  • E. van Ee5/5
  • N. Djouahra5/5
  • O. Lebedenko5/5
  • T. Fukui5/5
  • Tiago Esgaio5/5
  • I. Barbero3/5
  • I. De Arruabarrena3/5
  • J. Fontan3/5
  • J. Sanchez3/5
  • Barbero2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Mafra vs Arouca prediction?

Our AI gives Mafra a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Arouca 35%. Mafra are therefore slight favourites.

When and where is Mafra vs Arouca played?

Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Taça de Portugal. Venue: Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra.

What form are Mafra and Arouca in?

Mafra: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded). Arouca: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).

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Key terms explained