Skip to content
Elofoot

Botola ProBotola Pro· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction: correct score and AI tips

Difaa EL JadidaDifaa EL Jadida–Moghreb TetouanMoghreb Tetouan

Match analysis

Botola Pro, matchday 4: Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan kicks off on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time). Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Difaa EL Jadida 38%, Moghreb Tetouan 36% and the draw 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.6%), ahead of 1-0 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.6%).

Difaa EL Jadida have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 13. Moghreb Tetouan are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Recent momentum is clearly with Moghreb Tetouan. On average Difaa EL Jadida score 1.40 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Moghreb Tetouan score 1.40 and concede 0.40. In the table, Difaa EL Jadida sit 16th with 0 points from 2 games, Moghreb Tetouan 11th with 2 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Difaa EL Jadida and Moghreb Tetouan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Difaa EL Jadida or draw" stands at 64%, "Moghreb Tetouan or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : An evenly-matched game between Difaa EL Jadida and Moghreb Tetouan: our model sees no clear favourite. On recent form, Difaa EL Jadida have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Moghreb Tetouan have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 53%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

38%
Difaa EL Jadida (Win)
26%
Draw
36%
Moghreb Tetouan (Win)

Double chance

64%
Difaa EL Jadida or draw
62%
Moghreb Tetouan or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Difaa EL Jadida – Moghreb Tetouan. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Difaa EL Jadida 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan12.6%
Difaa EL Jadida 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan9.9%
Difaa EL Jadida 0-1 Moghreb Tetouan9.6%
Difaa EL Jadida 2-1 Moghreb Tetouan8.3%
Difaa EL Jadida 1-2 Moghreb Tetouan8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.58 goals in total (1.31 for Difaa EL Jadida, 1.27 for Moghreb Tetouan): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 53%. Difaa EL Jadida keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Moghreb Tetouan in 27%.

Probability
Difaa EL Jadida expected goals1.31
Moghreb Tetouan expected goals1.27
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Difaa EL Jadida clean sheet28%
Moghreb Tetouan clean sheet27%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Difaa EL Jadida

DateOpponentScore
Sep 26, 2026CODM Meknès · Botola Pro2-6L
Sep 9, 2026FAR Rabat · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 5, 2026Renaissance Berkane · Botola Pro1-3L
Jul 2, 2026Yacoub El Mansour · Botola Pro2-2D
Jun 28, 2026Kawkab Marrakech · Botola Pro1-1D

Moghreb Tetouan

DateOpponentScore
Oct 2, 2026Ittihad Tanger · Botola Pro1-1D
Sep 27, 2026Renaissance Berkane · Botola Pro0-0D
Jul 5, 2026Stade Marocain · Botola 21-0W
Jun 27, 2026Racing de Casablanca · Botola 22-0W
Jun 20, 2026Amal Tiznit · Botola 23-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Difaa EL Jadida1602
Moghreb Tetouan1122

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Difaa EL Jadida and Moghreb Tetouan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Difaa EL Jadida

No absences reported.

Moghreb Tetouan

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Difaa EL Jadida

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. El Idrissi Bouzidi4/4
  • S. Abaaziz4/4
  • A. Sanogo3/4
  • A. Ziani3/4
  • H. Malki3/4
  • M. Bentarcha3/4
  • A. Ait Wahmane2/4
  • A. Idrissi2/4
  • B. Niasse2/4
  • I. Sabik2/4
  • O. Benchchaoui2/4

Moghreb Tetouan

Starts over the last 2 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Marzak2/2
  • D. E. Eddaoudi2/2
  • H. Zeghari2/2
  • I. Bouabsidi2/2
  • M. Karmoun2/2
  • M. Kassou2/2
  • N. El Fadili2/2
  • S. Driouache2/2
  • W. Erbati2/2
  • Z. Benabbou2/2
  • Y. Aboursas1/2

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction?

Our AI gives Difaa EL Jadida a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Moghreb Tetouan 36%. Difaa EL Jadida are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?

1-1 (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (9.9%), 0-1 (9.6%), 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?

The probability that both Difaa EL Jadida and Moghreb Tetouan score is 53%. Difaa EL Jadida have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Moghreb Tetouan 27%.

How many goals should we expect in Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?

The model expects 2.58 goals (1.31 for Difaa EL Jadida, 1.27 for Moghreb Tetouan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan played?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Botola Pro, matchday 4.

What form are Difaa EL Jadida and Moghreb Tetouan in?

Difaa EL Jadida: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 13 conceded). Moghreb Tetouan: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded).

How is the Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.31 for Difaa EL Jadida, 1.27 for Moghreb Tetouan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained