Botola Pro· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)
Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Botola Pro, matchday 4: the Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès match is scheduled on Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time). Venue: Stade Ibn Batouta, Tangier. Ittihad Tanger start as favourites with a 45% chance of victory; Maghreb Fès are given 29% and the draw 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, Ittihad Tanger have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Maghreb Fès are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Ittihad Tanger score 1.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Maghreb Fès score 2.00 and concede 0.60. In the table, Ittihad Tanger sit 3rd with 4 points from 2 games, Maghreb Fès 1st with 6 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ittihad Tanger and Maghreb Fès: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Ittihad Tanger or draw" stands at 71%, "Maghreb Fès or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Ittihad Tanger are tipped by our AI model in this Ittihad Tanger v Maghreb Fès (45%). In the table, Ittihad Tanger (3rd, 4 pts) host Maghreb Fès (1st, 6 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Ittihad Tanger – Maghreb Fès. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ittihad Tanger 1-1 Maghreb Fès | 12.3% |
| Ittihad Tanger 1-0 Maghreb Fès | 10.9% |
| Ittihad Tanger 2-1 Maghreb Fès | 9.1% |
| Ittihad Tanger 0-1 Maghreb Fès | 8.3% |
| Ittihad Tanger 2-0 Maghreb Fès | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.48 expected goals for Ittihad Tanger and 1.13 for Maghreb Fès, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Ittihad Tanger keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Maghreb Fès in 23%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Ittihad Tanger expected goals | 1.48 |
| Maghreb Fès expected goals | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Ittihad Tanger clean sheet | 32% |
| Maghreb Fès clean sheet | 23% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Ittihad Tanger
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Amal Tiznit · Botola Pro | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Widad Témara · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Yacoub El Mansour · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 5, 2026 | CODM Meknès · Botola Pro | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | UTS Rabat · Botola Pro | 0-1 | L |
Maghreb Fès
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hassania Agadir · Botola Pro | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CR Khemis Zemamra · Botola Pro | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rahimo · CAF Champions League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rahimo · CAF Champions League | 4-1 | W |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Olympique Dcheïra · Botola Pro | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ittihad Tanger | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Maghreb Fès | 1 | 6 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ittihad Tanger and Maghreb Fès: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Ittihad Tanger
No absences reported.
Maghreb Fès
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Ittihad Tanger
Starts over the last 2 matches (official line-ups).
- A. El Wahabi2/2
- A. Maali2/2
- B. El Ouadghiri2/2
- B. Gaddarine2/2
- H. El Bahja2/2
- M. Saoud2/2
- Z. Kiani2/2
- A. El Ouaad1/2
- A. Lamrabat1/2
- E. El Bellali1/2
- H. El Moudene1/2
Maghreb Fès
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Chabani3/3
- A. Harmach3/3
- A. Tahiri3/3
- H. Ait Allal3/3
- M. Ouhrou3/3
- O. Noureddine3/3
- S. Chihab3/3
- A. Brika2/3
- A. Khafifi2/3
- D. Titus2/3
- T. Mabasa2/3
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Wydad AC – CODM MeknèsOct 11, 2026
- Hassania Agadir – FAR RabatOct 12, 2026
- Renaissance Berkane – CR Khemis ZemamraOct 13, 2026
- FUS Rabat – Raja CasablancaOct 13, 2026
- CODM Meknès – UTS RabatOct 17, 2026
- Difaa EL Jadida – Moghreb TetouanOct 17, 2026
- Widad Témara – Kawkab MarrakechOct 18, 2026
- Wydad AC – Amal TiznitOct 18, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès prediction?
Our AI gives Ittihad Tanger a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Maghreb Fès 29%. Ittihad Tanger are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès?
1-1 (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (10.9%), 2-1 (9.1%), 0-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès?
The probability that both Ittihad Tanger and Maghreb Fès score is 52%. Ittihad Tanger have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Maghreb Fès 23%.
How many goals should we expect in Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès?
The model expects 2.61 goals (1.48 for Ittihad Tanger, 1.13 for Maghreb Fès). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès played?
Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Botola Pro, matchday 4. Venue: Stade Ibn Batouta, Tangier.
What form are Ittihad Tanger and Maghreb Fès in?
Ittihad Tanger: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded). Maghreb Fès: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 3 conceded).
How is the Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.48 for Ittihad Tanger, 1.13 for Maghreb Fès) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Ittihad Tanger predictions
- All Maghreb Fès predictions
- Botola Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology