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Botola ProBotola Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir: 2-3 result and AI prediction review

Kawkab MarrakechKawkab Marrakech2 – 3Hassania AgadirHassania Agadir

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Kawkab Marrakech 2-3 Hassania Agadir. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kawkab Marrakech (51%), while victory for Hassania Agadir was rated at only 24%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir was played on Sunday, September 27, 2026 (Botola Pro, matchday 1). Venue: El Harti Stadium, Marrakech. Before kick-off, our model gave Kawkab Marrakech a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hassania Agadir 24%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Kawkab Marrakech have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Hassania Agadir have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 3 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Kawkab Marrakech score 0.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Hassania Agadir score 0.60 and concede 0.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Kawkab Marrakech and Hassania Agadir: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Kawkab Marrakech or draw" stands at 76%, "Hassania Agadir or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Our model backs Kawkab Marrakech to edge Hassania Agadir (51% probability). On recent form, Kawkab Marrakech have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Hassania Agadir have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
Kawkab Marrakech (Win)
25%
Draw
24%
Hassania Agadir (Win)

Double chance

76%
Kawkab Marrakech or draw
49%
Hassania Agadir or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Kawkab Marrakech – Hassania Agadir. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Kawkab Marrakech 1-1 Hassania Agadir11.8%
Kawkab Marrakech 1-0 Hassania Agadir11.4%
Kawkab Marrakech 2-1 Hassania Agadir9.5%
Kawkab Marrakech 2-0 Hassania Agadir9.3%
Kawkab Marrakech 0-1 Hassania Agadir7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.62 for Kawkab Marrakech, 1.03 for Hassania Agadir): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Kawkab Marrakech keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Hassania Agadir in 20%.

Probability
Kawkab Marrakech expected goals1.62
Hassania Agadir expected goals1.03
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Kawkab Marrakech clean sheet36%
Hassania Agadir clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Kawkab Marrakech

DateOpponentScore
Jul 5, 2026Hassania Agadir · Botola Pro1-1D
Jul 2, 2026Maghreb Fès · Botola Pro0-0D
Jun 28, 2026Difaa EL Jadida · Botola Pro1-1D
Jun 25, 2026FUS Rabat · Botola Pro2-0W
Jun 21, 2026FAR Rabat · Botola Pro0-2L

Hassania Agadir

DateOpponentScore
Jul 5, 2026Kawkab Marrakech · Botola Pro1-1D
Jul 2, 2026Raja Casablanca · Botola Pro0-2L
Jun 28, 2026CR Khemis Zemamra · Botola Pro1-1D
Jun 25, 2026CODM Meknès · Botola Pro0-0D
Jun 21, 2026UTS Rabat · Botola Pro1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Kawkab Marrakech700
Hassania Agadir600

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Kawkab Marrakech and Hassania Agadir: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Kawkab Marrakech

No absences reported.

Hassania Agadir

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Kawkab Marrakech

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Jemjami5/5
  • C. Gnolou4/5
  • H. Fassoukh4/5
  • H. Founti4/5
  • N. Lougmani4/5
  • R. Mennioui4/5
  • Y. Raiani4/5
  • I. El Alami3/5
  • I. Mihrab3/5
  • O. Mahrous3/5
  • S. Cisse3/5

Hassania Agadir

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Ait Brayim5/5
  • A. Tarrazi5/5
  • B. Abyir5/5
  • J. Tachtach5/5
  • M. Akoumi5/5
  • A. Qassaq4/5
  • I. Hrila4/5
  • S. El Amrani4/5
  • B. Bello Ilou3/5
  • M. Bahsain3/5
  • M. Ounajem3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Kawkab Marrakech a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hassania Agadir 24%. Kawkab Marrakech are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir?

1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir?

The probability that both Kawkab Marrakech and Hassania Agadir score is 52%. Kawkab Marrakech have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Hassania Agadir 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir?

The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for Kawkab Marrakech, 1.03 for Hassania Agadir). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir played?

Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Botola Pro, matchday 1. Venue: El Harti Stadium, Marrakech.

What form are Kawkab Marrakech and Hassania Agadir in?

Kawkab Marrakech: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded). Hassania Agadir: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded).

What was the Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Kawkab Marrakech 2-3 Hassania Agadir. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kawkab Marrakech (51%), while victory for Hassania Agadir was rated at only 24%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Kawkab Marrakech, 1.03 for Hassania Agadir) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained