Botola Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Botola Pro, matchday 1: Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane kicks off on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). Venue: Stade Saniat Rmel, Tetouan. Moghreb Tetouan start as favourites with a 52% chance of victory; Renaissance Berkane are given 23% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Moghreb Tetouan are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, Renaissance Berkane have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Moghreb Tetouan score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Renaissance Berkane score 2.00 and concede 1.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Moghreb Tetouan and Renaissance Berkane: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Moghreb Tetouan or draw" stands at 77%, "Renaissance Berkane or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Moghreb Tetouan are favourites for this Moghreb Tetouan v Renaissance Berkane, with a 52% win probability from our model. On recent form, Moghreb Tetouan have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Renaissance Berkane have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Moghreb Tetouan – Renaissance Berkane. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Moghreb Tetouan 1-1 Renaissance Berkane | 11.7% |
| Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 Renaissance Berkane | 11.5% |
| Moghreb Tetouan 2-1 Renaissance Berkane | 9.6% |
| Moghreb Tetouan 2-0 Renaissance Berkane | 9.4% |
| Moghreb Tetouan 0-1 Renaissance Berkane | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.64 expected goals for Moghreb Tetouan and 1.02 for Renaissance Berkane, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Moghreb Tetouan keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Renaissance Berkane in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Moghreb Tetouan expected goals | 1.64 |
| Renaissance Berkane expected goals | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Moghreb Tetouan clean sheet | 36% |
| Renaissance Berkane clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Moghreb Tetouan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Stade Marocain · Botola 2 | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Racing de Casablanca · Botola 2 | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Amal Tiznit · Botola 2 | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Chabab Ben Guerir · Botola 2 | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Wydad Fès · Botola 2 | 1-1 | D |
Renaissance Berkane
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Difaa EL Jadida · Botola Pro | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Wydad AC · Botola Pro | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 28, 2026 | FUS Rabat · Botola Pro | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 25, 2026 | FAR Rabat · Botola Pro | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Maghreb Fès · Botola Pro | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moghreb Tetouan | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Renaissance Berkane | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Moghreb Tetouan and Renaissance Berkane: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Moghreb Tetouan
No absences reported.
Renaissance Berkane
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Renaissance Berkane
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. T. Boukhriss5/5
- H. Manaout5/5
- I. Kandouss5/5
- M. Chouiar5/5
- O. Haddadi5/5
- O. Lamlioui5/5
- P. Bassene5/5
- Y. Labhiri5/5
- Y. Mehri5/5
- M. Maftah4/5
- A. Khairi3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- UTS Rabat – FUS RabatSep 26, 2026
- Difaa EL Jadida – CODM MeknèsSep 26, 2026
- Wydad AC – Widad TémaraSep 26, 2026
- Maghreb Fès – CR Khemis ZemamraSep 27, 2026
- Kawkab Marrakech – Hassania AgadirSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane prediction?
Our AI gives Moghreb Tetouan a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Renaissance Berkane 23%. Moghreb Tetouan are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane?
The probability that both Moghreb Tetouan and Renaissance Berkane score is 52%. Moghreb Tetouan have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Renaissance Berkane 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane?
The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Moghreb Tetouan, 1.02 for Renaissance Berkane). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Botola Pro, matchday 1. Venue: Stade Saniat Rmel, Tetouan.
What form are Moghreb Tetouan and Renaissance Berkane in?
Moghreb Tetouan: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Renaissance Berkane: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).
How is the Moghreb Tetouan vs Renaissance Berkane prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Moghreb Tetouan, 1.02 for Renaissance Berkane) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Moghreb Tetouan predictions
- All Renaissance Berkane predictions
- Botola Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology