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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 22:30 (UK time)

Botafogo SP vs Londrina: 4-0 result and AI prediction review

Botafogo SPBotafogo SP4 – 0LondrinaLondrina

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Botafogo SP 4-0 Londrina. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Botafogo SP was the model's favourite outcome (44%). The model considered this score unlikely (1.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (60%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): correct.

Match analysis

Botafogo SP vs Londrina was played on Thursday, November 5, 2026 (Brasileirão Série B, matchday 37). Venue: Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto. Before kick-off, our model gave Botafogo SP a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Londrina 32%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.1%), ahead of 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.2%).

Botafogo SP are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Londrina have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Botafogo SP. On average Botafogo SP score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Londrina score 1.20 and concede 1.80. In the table, Botafogo SP sit 12th with 48 points from 36 games, Londrina 18th with 32 points from 36. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Botafogo SP have averaged 1.10 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.03 for Londrina.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Botafogo SP, 0 for Londrina and 1 draw. The most recent ended Londrina 0-0 Botafogo SP (Jul 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "Botafogo SP or draw" stands at 68%, "Londrina or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 76%.

In short : Botafogo SP are favourites for this Botafogo SP v Londrina, with a 44% win probability from our model. In the table, Botafogo SP (12th, 48 pts) host Londrina (18th, 32 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

44%
Botafogo SP (Win)
24%
Draw
32%
Londrina (Win)

Double chance

68%
Botafogo SP or draw
56%
Londrina or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Botafogo SP – Londrina. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Botafogo SP 1-1 Londrina11.1%
Botafogo SP 2-1 Londrina9.1%
Botafogo SP 1-0 Londrina8.2%
Botafogo SP 1-2 Londrina7.5%
Botafogo SP 2-0 Londrina6.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.00 goals in total (1.65 for Botafogo SP, 1.35 for Londrina): over 2.5 goals has a 58% probability and both teams to score 60%. Botafogo SP keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Londrina in 19%.

Probability
Botafogo SP expected goals1.65
Londrina expected goals1.35
Both teams to score60%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Botafogo SP clean sheet26%
Londrina clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Botafogo SP

DateOpponentScore
Oct 31, 2026Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Oct 24, 2026Avai · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Oct 18, 2026CRB · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Oct 13, 2026Ceara · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Oct 7, 2026Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B2-1W

Londrina

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B1-3L
Oct 24, 2026CRB · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Oct 20, 2026Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Oct 13, 2026Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B2-2D
Oct 7, 2026Avai · Brasileirão Série B1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Botafogo SP124836
Londrina183236

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Londrina 0-0 Botafogo SPBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Botafogo SP

No absences reported.

Londrina

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Botafogo SP

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Hygor5/5
  • Jonathan5/5
  • Rafael Gava5/5
  • Victor Souza5/5
  • Vilar5/5
  • Darlan4/5
  • Everton Morelli4/5
  • Gabriel Inocencio4/5
  • Patrick Brey4/5
  • Leandro Maciel3/5
  • Ze Hugo2/5

Londrina

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Caio Rodrigues5/5
  • Herbert5/5
  • Wallace5/5
  • Geovane Meurer4/5
  • Heron4/5
  • Kaue Leonardo4/5
  • Luan Ribeiro4/5
  • Guilherme Dantas3/5
  • Tarik3/5
  • Vitinho Mota3/5
  • Igor Bahia2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Botafogo SP vs Londrina prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Botafogo SP a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Londrina 32%. Botafogo SP are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 4-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Botafogo SP vs Londrina?

1-1 (11.1%), followed by 2-1 (9.1%), 1-0 (8.2%), 1-2 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.8%).

Will both teams score in Botafogo SP vs Londrina?

The probability that both Botafogo SP and Londrina score is 60%. Botafogo SP have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Londrina 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Botafogo SP vs Londrina?

The model expects 3.00 goals (1.65 for Botafogo SP, 1.35 for Londrina). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 58%, over 3.5 goals 35%.

When and where is Botafogo SP vs Londrina played?

Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 37. Venue: Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto.

What form are Botafogo SP and Londrina in?

Botafogo SP: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Londrina: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo SP and Londrina?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Botafogo SP, 0 for Londrina and 1 draw. The most recent ended Londrina 0-0 Botafogo SP (Jul 18, 2026).

What was the Botafogo SP vs Londrina result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Botafogo SP 4-0 Londrina. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Botafogo SP was the model's favourite outcome (44%). The model considered this score unlikely (1.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (60%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): correct.

How is the Botafogo SP vs Londrina prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.65 for Botafogo SP, 1.35 for Londrina) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained