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BundesligaBundesliga· Kick-off : Friday, November 20, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Bayern München take on 1. FC Köln on Friday, November 20, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), a Bundesliga, matchday 10 fixture. Venue: Allianz Arena, Munich. Our model makes Bayern München clear favourites: a 89% chance of winning, against 7% for the draw and 4% for 1. FC Köln.

Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 15 and conceding 5. 1. FC Köln have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 4. Bayern München therefore arrive in far better shape than 1. FC Köln. On average Bayern München score 3.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; 1. FC Köln score 1.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, Bayern München sit 1st with 21 points from 9 games, 1. FC Köln 15th with 9 points from 9. 14 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Bayern München have averaged 3.21 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.58 for 1. FC Köln.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 5 wins for Bayern München, 0 for 1. FC Köln and 0 draws. The most recent ended Bayern München 5-1 1. FC Köln (May 16, 2026). Bayern München out or doubtful: L. Diaz, S. Gnabry, J. Musiala and I. Saibari. In double chance terms, "Bayern München or draw" stands at 96%, "1. FC Köln or draw" at 11% and "no draw" at 93%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

89%
Bayern München (Win)
7%
Draw
4%
1. FC Köln (Win)

Double chance

96%
Bayern München or draw
11%
1. FC Köln or draw
93%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Bayern München

DateOpponentScore
Nov 7, 2026FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2-1W
Nov 3, 2026Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Oct 31, 2026Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2-2D
Oct 28, 20261. FC Magdeburg · DFB-Pokal6-1W
Oct 25, 2026SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3-1W

1. FC Köln

DateOpponentScore
Nov 8, 2026Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga1-2L
Nov 1, 2026Union Berlin · Bundesliga1-1D
Oct 27, 2026Union Berlin · DFB-Pokal5-0W
Oct 24, 2026FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga0-0D
Oct 16, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bayern München1219
1. FC Köln1599

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Bayern München 5-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Jan 14, 20261. FC Köln 1-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Oct 29, 20251. FC Köln 1-4 Bayern MünchenDFB Pokal
Apr 13, 2024Bayern München 2-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Nov 24, 20231. FC Köln 0-1 Bayern MünchenBundesliga

Out and doubtful

Bayern München

  • L. Diaz (out)
  • S. Gnabry (out)
  • J. Musiala (out)
  • I. Saibari (out)

1. FC Köln

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Bayern München

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • K. Laimer4/5
  • M. Olise4/5
  • D. Upamecano3/5
  • H. Kane3/5
  • J. Kimmich3/5
  • J. Tah3/5
  • L. Karl3/5
  • A. Davies2/5
  • A. Pavlović2/5
  • I. Saibari2/5
  • J. Stanišić2/5

1. FC Köln

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Sosa4/5
  • J. Schmied4/5
  • Jahmai Simpson-Pusey4/5
  • L. Maina4/5
  • S. El Mala4/5
  • M. Bülter3/5
  • M. Schwäbe3/5
  • Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler3/5
  • S. Sebulonsen3/5
  • T. Krauß3/5
  • M. Moore2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln prediction?

Our AI gives Bayern München a 89% chance of winning, the draw 7% and 1. FC Köln 4%. Bayern München are therefore favourites.

When and where is Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln played?

Friday, November 20, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 10. Venue: Allianz Arena, Munich.

What form are Bayern München and 1. FC Köln in?

Bayern München: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 5 conceded). 1. FC Köln: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and 1. FC Köln?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 5 wins for Bayern München, 0 for 1. FC Köln and 0 draws. The most recent ended Bayern München 5-1 1. FC Köln (May 16, 2026).

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Key terms explained