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BundesligaBundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, November 21, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction: correct score and AI tips

Union BerlinUnion Berlin–RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Match analysis

Bundesliga, matchday 10: the Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig match is scheduled on Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time). Our model makes RB Leipzig clear favourites: a 90% chance of winning, against 7% for the draw and 3% for Union Berlin.

Union Berlin have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, RB Leipzig have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 15 and conceding 6. RB Leipzig therefore arrive in far better shape than Union Berlin. On average Union Berlin score 0.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; RB Leipzig score 3.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Union Berlin sit 16th with 7 points from 9 games, RB Leipzig 4th with 18 points from 9. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Union Berlin have averaged 0.88 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.21 for RB Leipzig.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Union Berlin, 1 for RB Leipzig and 0 draws. The most recent ended RB Leipzig 3-1 Union Berlin (Apr 24, 2026). RB Leipzig: M. Finkgrafe, M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo and L. Zingerle. In double chance terms, "Union Berlin or draw" stands at 10%, "RB Leipzig or draw" at 97% and "no draw" at 93%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

3%
Union Berlin (Win)
7%
Draw
90%
RB Leipzig (Win)

Double chance

10%
Union Berlin or draw
97%
RB Leipzig or draw
93%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Union Berlin

DateOpponentScore
Nov 8, 2026SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0-2L
Nov 1, 20261. FC Köln · Bundesliga1-1D
Oct 27, 20261. FC Köln · DFB-Pokal0-5L
Oct 24, 2026FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1-1D
Oct 17, 2026Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0-0D

RB Leipzig

DateOpponentScore
Nov 7, 2026FC Augsburg · Bundesliga5-2W
Nov 4, 2026Manchester City · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Oct 31, 2026FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga2-0W
Oct 27, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen · DFB-Pokal2-1W
Oct 24, 2026SV Elversberg · Bundesliga4-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Union Berlin1679
RB Leipzig4189

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026RB Leipzig 3-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
Dec 12, 2025Union Berlin 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga

Out and doubtful

Union Berlin

No absences reported.

RB Leipzig

  • M. Finkgrafe (out)
  • M. Guiu (out)
  • A. Ouedraogo (out)
  • L. Zingerle (out)

Most regular starters

Union Berlin

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Haberer5/5
  • M. Aebischer5/5
  • R. Khedira5/5
  • T. Skarke5/5
  • Z. Van Den Bosch5/5
  • A. Schäfer4/5
  • F. Rønnow3/5
  • Jeong Woo-Yeong3/5
  • K. Imeri3/5
  • Livan Burcu3/5
  • T. Rothe3/5

RB Leipzig

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Lukeba4/5
  • D. Raum4/5
  • E. Banzuzi4/5
  • B. Gruda3/5
  • M. Vandevoordt3/5
  • N. El Aynaoui3/5
  • R. Baku3/5
  • Rômulo3/5
  • W. Orbán3/5
  • A. Nusa2/5
  • R. Reitz2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction?

Our AI gives Union Berlin a 3% chance of winning, the draw 7% and RB Leipzig 90%. RB Leipzig are therefore favourites.

When and where is Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig played?

Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 10.

What form are Union Berlin and RB Leipzig in?

Union Berlin: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 9 conceded). RB Leipzig: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Union Berlin, 1 for RB Leipzig and 0 draws. The most recent ended RB Leipzig 3-1 Union Berlin (Apr 24, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained