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BundesligaBundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: correct score and AI tips

Bayern MünchenBayern München–Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Match analysis

Bundesliga, matchday 8: the Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund match is scheduled on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time). Venue: Allianz Arena, Munich. With a 75% win probability, Bayern München go in as strong favourites against Borussia Dortmund (13%), with the draw rated at 12%.

Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 19 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Borussia Dortmund have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Bayern München score 3.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Borussia Dortmund score 1.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Bayern München sit 3rd with 11 points from 5 games, Borussia Dortmund 2nd with 13 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Bayern München have averaged 3.77 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.03 for Borussia Dortmund.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Bayern München, 0 for Borussia Dortmund and 2 draws. The most recent ended Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern München (Aug 22, 2026). Bayern München out or doubtful: T. Buchmann, J. Musiala and M. Neuer (doubtful). Borussia Dortmund: E. Can, G. Konstantelias, J. Lerma and N. Schlotterbeck. In double chance terms, "Bayern München or draw" stands at 87%, "Borussia Dortmund or draw" at 25% and "no draw" at 88%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

75%
Bayern München (Win)
12%
Draw
13%
Borussia Dortmund (Win)

Double chance

87%
Bayern München or draw
25%
Borussia Dortmund or draw
88%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Bayern München

DateOpponentScore
Oct 13, 2026Viking · UEFA Champions League3-3D
Oct 10, 2026FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2-2D
Sep 18, 2026Union Berlin · Bundesliga7-0W
Sep 13, 2026SV Elversberg · Bundesliga2-1W
Sep 10, 2026Bodo/Glimt · UEFA Champions League5-0W

Borussia Dortmund

DateOpponentScore
Oct 14, 2026Bodo/Glimt · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Oct 9, 2026Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2-2D
Sep 19, 2026VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1-0W
Sep 12, 2026SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga3-0W
Sep 8, 2026Villarreal · UEFA Champions League3-2W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bayern München3115
Borussia Dortmund2135

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern MünchenSuper Cup
Feb 28, 2026Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Oct 18, 2025Bayern München 2-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Apr 12, 2025Bayern München 2-2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Nov 30, 2024Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Bayern MünchenBundesliga

Out and doubtful

Bayern München

  • T. Buchmann (out)
  • J. Musiala (out)
  • M. Neuer (doubtful)

Borussia Dortmund

  • E. Can (out)
  • G. Konstantelias (out)
  • J. Lerma (out)
  • N. Schlotterbeck (out)

Most regular starters

Bayern München

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

Borussia Dortmund

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?

Our AI gives Bayern München a 75% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Borussia Dortmund 13%. Bayern München are therefore favourites.

When and where is Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund played?

Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 8. Venue: Allianz Arena, Munich.

What form are Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund in?

Bayern München: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (19 scored, 6 conceded). Borussia Dortmund: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Bayern München, 0 for Borussia Dortmund and 2 draws. The most recent ended Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern München (Aug 22, 2026).

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Key terms explained