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BundesligaBundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)

FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction: correct score and AI tips

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05–Werder BremenWerder Bremen

Match analysis

FSV Mainz 05 take on Werder Bremen on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), a Bundesliga, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: Mewa Arena, Mainz. With a 78% win probability, FSV Mainz 05 go in as strong favourites against Werder Bremen (9%), with the draw rated at 13%.

Over their last 5 matches, FSV Mainz 05 have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Werder Bremen have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 13. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FSV Mainz 05 score 3.20 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Werder Bremen score 1.80 and concede 2.60. In the table, FSV Mainz 05 sit 9th with 7 points from 5 games, Werder Bremen 7th with 8 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, FSV Mainz 05 have averaged 2.87 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.04 for Werder Bremen.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for FSV Mainz 05, 3 for Werder Bremen and 1 draw. The most recent ended Werder Bremen 0-2 FSV Mainz 05 (Mar 15, 2026). FSV Mainz 05 out or doubtful: D. Kohr, O. Ruoppi, Silas and R. Zentner. Werder Bremen: F. Agu, S. Alvero, S. Lynen, S. Musah, M. N'Diaye, J. Njinmah, J. Stage and K. Topp. In double chance terms, "FSV Mainz 05 or draw" stands at 91%, "Werder Bremen or draw" at 22% and "no draw" at 87%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

78%
FSV Mainz 05 (Win)
13%
Draw
9%
Werder Bremen (Win)

Double chance

91%
FSV Mainz 05 or draw
22%
Werder Bremen or draw
87%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

FSV Mainz 05

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga3-4L
Oct 3, 2026Waldhof Mannheim · Club Friendlies3-0W
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga4-3W
Sep 12, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1-3L
Sep 6, 2026Hamburger SV · Bundesliga5-0W

Werder Bremen

DateOpponentScore
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2-2D
Oct 2, 2026Twente · Club Friendlies0-7L
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3-2W
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln · Bundesliga1-1D
Sep 5, 2026RB Leipzig · Bundesliga3-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
FSV Mainz 05975
Werder Bremen785

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Werder Bremen 0-2 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2025FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
Jan 31, 2025Werder Bremen 1-0 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Sep 15, 2024FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
Feb 3, 2024FSV Mainz 05 0-1 Werder BremenBundesliga

Out and doubtful

FSV Mainz 05

  • D. Kohr (out)
  • O. Ruoppi (out)
  • Silas (out)
  • R. Zentner (out)

Werder Bremen

  • F. Agu (out)
  • S. Alvero (out)
  • S. Lynen (out)
  • S. Musah (out)
  • M. N'Diaye (out)
  • J. Njinmah (out)
  • J. Stage (out)
  • K. Topp (out)

Most regular starters

FSV Mainz 05

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Caci4/4
  • F. Gruber4/4
  • K. Potulski4/4
  • K. Sano4/4
  • N. Amiri4/4
  • P. Mwene4/4
  • P. Tietz4/4
  • S. Becker4/4
  • S. Posch4/4
  • A. Schwolow3/4
  • Lee Jae-Sung3/4

Werder Bremen

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Pieper5/5
  • Arthur5/5
  • L. Reis5/5
  • Y. Regeer5/5
  • Chuki4/5
  • K. Hein4/5
  • M. Friedl4/5
  • N. Fullkrug4/5
  • O. Deman4/5
  • E. Dinkci3/5
  • M. Grull3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction?

Our AI gives FSV Mainz 05 a 78% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Werder Bremen 9%. FSV Mainz 05 are therefore favourites.

When and where is FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen played?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 7. Venue: Mewa Arena, Mainz.

What form are FSV Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen in?

FSV Mainz 05: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 10 conceded). Werder Bremen: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for FSV Mainz 05, 3 for Werder Bremen and 1 draw. The most recent ended Werder Bremen 0-2 FSV Mainz 05 (Mar 15, 2026).

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Key terms explained