Bundesliga· Kick-off : Friday, October 23, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
VfB Stuttgart take on Borussia Mönchengladbach on Friday, October 23, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), a Bundesliga, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: MHPArena, Stuttgart. It is a tight call: 34% for VfB Stuttgart, 21% for the draw and 45% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (8.4%), followed by 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, VfB Stuttgart have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 10 and conceding 14. VfB Stuttgart therefore arrive in far better shape than Borussia Mönchengladbach. On average VfB Stuttgart score 2.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.00 and concede 2.80. In the table, VfB Stuttgart sit 15th with 3 points from 4 games, Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th with 0 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for VfB Stuttgart, 1 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 0 draws. The most recent ended Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB Stuttgart (Jan 25, 2026). VfB Stuttgart out or doubtful: A. Al Dakhil, J. Diehl (doubtful), L. Jaquez (doubtful), N. Nartey (doubtful), T. Tomas (doubtful) and D. Zagadou (doubtful). In double chance terms, "VfB Stuttgart or draw" stands at 55%, "Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw" at 66% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Our model backs Borussia Mönchengladbach to edge VfB Stuttgart (45% probability). In the table, VfB Stuttgart (15th, 3 pts) host Borussia Mönchengladbach (18th, 0 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 72%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Mönchengladbach. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 37% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8.4% |
| VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8.4% |
| VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7.2% |
| VfB Stuttgart 2-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7.2% |
| VfB Stuttgart 1-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.71 expected goals for VfB Stuttgart and 2.00 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 72% and "both teams to score" at 71%. Goals look likely in this one. VfB Stuttgart keep a clean sheet in 14% of scenarios, Borussia Mönchengladbach in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart expected goals | 1.71 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach expected goals | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 14% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
VfB Stuttgart
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Club Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Viking · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC St. Pauli · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga | 3-4 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | 0-5 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Bundesliga | 3-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 15 | 3 | 4 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 18 | 0 | 4 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| May 18, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart 4-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
VfB Stuttgart
- A. Al Dakhil (out)
- J. Diehl (doubtful)
- L. Jaquez (doubtful)
- N. Nartey (doubtful)
- T. Tomas (doubtful)
- D. Zagadou (doubtful)
Borussia Mönchengladbach
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
VfB Stuttgart
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Stiller4/4
- F. Bredlow4/4
- F. Jeltsch4/4
- G. Promel4/4
- M. Mittelstadt4/4
- C. Fuhrich3/4
- D. Undav3/4
- E. Demirovic3/4
- J. Chabot3/4
- B. El Khannouss2/4
- J. Leweling2/4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Scally5/5
- P. Sander5/5
- F. Honorat4/5
- M. Nicolas4/5
- D. Herold3/5
- F. Neuhaus3/5
- H. Bolin3/5
- K. Diks3/5
- K. Itakura3/5
- R. Hack3/5
- T. Kleindienst3/5
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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Frequently asked questions
What is the VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction?
Our AI gives VfB Stuttgart a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 45%. Borussia Mönchengladbach are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
1-1 (8.4%), followed by 1-2 (8.4%), 2-1 (7.2%), 2-2 (7.2%) and 1-3 (5.6%).
Will both teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The probability that both VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach score is 71%. VfB Stuttgart have a 14% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Borussia Mönchengladbach 18%.
How many goals should we expect in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model expects 3.71 goals (1.71 for VfB Stuttgart, 2.00 for Borussia Mönchengladbach). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 89%, over 2.5 goals 72%, over 3.5 goals 51%.
When and where is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
Friday, October 23, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 7. Venue: MHPArena, Stuttgart.
What form are VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach in?
VfB Stuttgart: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded). Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 14 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for VfB Stuttgart, 1 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 0 draws. The most recent ended Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB Stuttgart (Jan 25, 2026).
How is the VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.71 for VfB Stuttgart, 2.00 for Borussia Mönchengladbach) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All VfB Stuttgart predictions
- All Borussia Mönchengladbach predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology