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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt: 1-3 result and AI prediction review

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1 – 3Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 3-0

Final score: NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/Glimt. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for NEC Nijmegen (90%), while victory for Bodo/Glimt was rated at only 3%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (84%): correct.

Match analysis

NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt met on Wednesday, August 19, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen. Before kick-off, our model gave NEC Nijmegen a 90% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Bodo/Glimt 3%. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (9.4%), followed by 4-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, NEC Nijmegen have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Bodo/Glimt have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Bodo/Glimt therefore arrive in far better shape than NEC Nijmegen. On average NEC Nijmegen score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Bodo/Glimt score 2.80 and concede 2.20.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. NEC Nijmegen out or doubtful: Y. Moslih, K. Ogawa, S. Ouaissa, P. Sandler and P. Schuurs. Bodo/Glimt: H. Evjen, A. Mikkelsen, I. Sjong and J. Gundersen. In double chance terms, "NEC Nijmegen or draw" stands at 97%, "Bodo/Glimt or draw" at 10% and "no draw" at 93%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

90%
NEC Nijmegen (Win)
7%
Draw
3%
Bodo/Glimt (Win)

Double chance

97%
NEC Nijmegen or draw
10%
Bodo/Glimt or draw
93%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as NEC Nijmegen – Bodo/Glimt. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (9.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 40% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
NEC Nijmegen 3-0 Bodo/Glimt9.4%
NEC Nijmegen 4-0 Bodo/Glimt9.1%
NEC Nijmegen 2-0 Bodo/Glimt7.3%
NEC Nijmegen 3-1 Bodo/Glimt7.1%
NEC Nijmegen 5-0 Bodo/Glimt7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 3.88 expected goals for NEC Nijmegen and 0.76 for Bodo/Glimt, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 84% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Goals look likely in this one. NEC Nijmegen keep a clean sheet in 47% of scenarios, Bodo/Glimt in 2%.

Probability
NEC Nijmegen expected goals3.88
Bodo/Glimt expected goals0.76
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals68%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet47%
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet2%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

NEC Nijmegen

DateOpponentScore
Aug 15, 2026Willem II · Eredivisie4-1W
Aug 11, 2026Olympiakos Piraeus · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Aug 8, 2026Telstar · Eredivisie1-2L
Aug 4, 2026Olympiakos Piraeus · UEFA Champions League0-0D
Jul 31, 2026Sevilla · Club Friendlies1-2L

Bodo/Glimt

DateOpponentScore
Aug 11, 2026Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Champions League3-2W
Aug 4, 2026Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Champions League3-3D
Jul 4, 2026Start · Club Friendlies4-0W
Jun 28, 2026Molde · Club Friendlies4-1W
Mar 17, 2026Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League0-5L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

NEC Nijmegen

  • Y. Moslih (out)
  • K. Ogawa (out)
  • S. Ouaissa (out)
  • P. Sandler (out)
  • P. Schuurs (out)

Bodo/Glimt

  • H. Evjen (out)
  • A. Mikkelsen (out)
  • I. Sjong (out)
  • J. Gundersen (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave NEC Nijmegen a 90% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Bodo/Glimt 3%. NEC Nijmegen are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.

What is the most likely correct score for NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?

3-0 (9.4%), followed by 4-0 (9.1%), 2-0 (7.3%), 3-1 (7.1%) and 5-0 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?

The probability that both NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt score is 52%. NEC Nijmegen have a 47% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bodo/Glimt 2%.

How many goals should we expect in NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?

The model expects 4.64 goals (3.88 for NEC Nijmegen, 0.76 for Bodo/Glimt). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 84%, over 3.5 goals 68%.

When and where is NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt played?

Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen.

What form are NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt in?

NEC Nijmegen: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Bodo/Glimt: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 11 conceded).

What was the NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/Glimt. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for NEC Nijmegen (90%), while victory for Bodo/Glimt was rated at only 3%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (84%): correct.

How is the NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.88 for NEC Nijmegen, 0.76 for Bodo/Glimt) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained