Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, November 21, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Stoke City vs Birmingham prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Stoke City take on Birmingham on Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), a Championship, matchday 16 fixture. Venue: Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Stoke City 33%, Birmingham 42% and the draw 25%.
Over their last 5 matches, Stoke City have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Birmingham have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 2. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Stoke City score 1.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Birmingham score 2.60 and concede 0.40. In the table, Stoke City sit 3rd with 29 points from 15 games, Birmingham 1st with 29 points from 15. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Stoke City have averaged 1.16 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.61 for Birmingham.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Stoke City, 0 for Birmingham and 1 draw. The most recent ended Birmingham 1-1 Stoke City (Jan 24, 2026). Stoke City out or doubtful: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, L. Cisse, E. Galbraith (suspended), A. Cresswell (doubtful) and S. Gallagher (doubtful). Birmingham: M. Leonard, K. Lund, Paik Seung-Ho, J. Beadle (doubtful) and D. Fry (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Stoke City or draw" stands at 58%, "Birmingham or draw" at 67% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Stoke City
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 2-3 | L |
Birmingham
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Millwall · Championship | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cardiff · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | QPR · Championship | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 4-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 3 | 29 | 15 |
| Birmingham | 1 | 29 | 15 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Birmingham 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Stoke City 1-0 Birmingham | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Stoke City
- A. Ampah (out)
- E. Bocat (out)
- L. Cisse (out)
- E. Galbraith (suspended)
- A. Cresswell (doubtful)
- S. Gallagher (doubtful)
Birmingham
- M. Leonard (out)
- K. Lund (out)
- Paik Seung-Ho (out)
- J. Beadle (doubtful)
- D. Fry (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Stoke City
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Johnson5/5
- B. Wilmot5/5
- J. McGlynn5/5
- L. Graham5/5
- V. Johansson5/5
- E. Galbraith4/5
- J. Devenny4/5
- B. Lawal3/5
- D. Soumare3/5
- L. Bombino3/5
- L. Cisse3/5
Birmingham
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Cochrane5/5
- C. Klarer5/5
- J. Stansfield5/5
- L. Millar5/5
- P. Neumann5/5
- T. Iwata5/5
- J. Beadle4/5
- P. Roberts4/5
- A. Priske3/5
- B. Osayi-Samuel3/5
- J. E. Solis Romero3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Southampton – DerbyNov 21, 2026
- Norwich – CardiffNov 21, 2026
- Millwall – QPRNov 21, 2026
- West Ham – PrestonNov 21, 2026
- Lincoln – WrexhamNov 21, 2026
- Swansea – West BromNov 21, 2026
- Sheffield Utd – WatfordNov 21, 2026
- Bolton – PortsmouthNov 21, 2026
- Middlesbrough – Bristol CityNov 21, 2026
- Wolves – CharltonNov 21, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Stoke City vs Birmingham prediction?
Our AI gives Stoke City a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Birmingham 42%. Birmingham are therefore slight favourites.
When and where is Stoke City vs Birmingham played?
Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 16. Venue: Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent.
What form are Stoke City and Birmingham in?
Stoke City: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). Birmingham: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 2 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Birmingham?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Stoke City, 0 for Birmingham and 1 draw. The most recent ended Birmingham 1-1 Stoke City (Jan 24, 2026).
Go further
- All Stoke City predictions
- All Birmingham predictions
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