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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction: correct score and AI tips

AtalantaAtalanta–Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty

Match analysis

Atalanta take on Kairat Almaty on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: New Balance Arena, Bergamo. Our model makes Atalanta clear favourites: a 94% chance of winning, against 5% for the draw and 1% for Kairat Almaty.

Atalanta have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 11 and conceding 12. Over their last 5 matches, Kairat Almaty have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Kairat Almaty therefore arrive in far better shape than Atalanta. On average Atalanta score 2.20 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Kairat Almaty score 2.00 and concede 1.60. In the table, Atalanta sit 15th with 3 points from 2 games, Kairat Almaty 31st with 1 points from 2. 16 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Atalanta have averaged 2.22 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.99 for Kairat Almaty.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Atalanta and Kairat Almaty: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Atalanta out or doubtful: I. Hien, R. Bellanova, F. Kessie, S. Kolasinac, O. Kossounou, G. Raspadori and G. Scamacca. In double chance terms, "Atalanta or draw" stands at 99%, "Kairat Almaty or draw" at 6% and "no draw" at 95%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

94%
Atalanta (Win)
5%
Draw
1%
Kairat Almaty (Win)

Double chance

99%
Atalanta or draw
6%
Kairat Almaty or draw
95%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Atalanta

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Fiorentina · Serie A2-2D
Oct 25, 2026Frosinone · Serie A4-4D
Oct 22, 2026Ajax · UEFA Conference League0-2L
Oct 18, 2026AC Milan · Serie A2-3L
Oct 15, 2026Pafos · UEFA Conference League3-1W

Kairat Almaty

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Aktobe · Premier League2-2D
Oct 22, 2026Panathinaikos · UEFA Conference League1-5L
Oct 18, 2026Irtysh · Premier League5-0W
Oct 15, 2026Riga · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Oct 10, 2026Zhetysu · Premier League1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Atalanta1532
Kairat Almaty3112

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Atalanta and Kairat Almaty: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Atalanta

  • I. Hien (out)
  • R. Bellanova (out)
  • F. Kessie (out)
  • S. Kolasinac (out)
  • O. Kossounou (out)
  • G. Raspadori (out)
  • G. Scamacca (out)

Kairat Almaty

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Atalanta

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Carnesecchi5/5
  • T. Kristensen5/5
  • C. De Ketelaere4/5
  • D. Zappacosta4/5
  • E. Elmas4/5
  • G. Gaetano4/5
  • Ederson3/5
  • L. Bernasconi3/5
  • N. Zalewski3/5
  • R. Bellanova3/5
  • G. Scamacca2/5

Kairat Almaty

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Martynovich5/5
  • E. Tapalov5/5
  • J. Oksanen5/5
  • L. Mata5/5
  • M. Gual5/5
  • T. Anarbekov5/5
  • A. Shirobokov4/5
  • Edmilson4/5
  • G. Mendonsa4/5
  • O. Jukkola4/5
  • A. Mrynskiy3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction?

Our AI gives Atalanta a 94% chance of winning, the draw 5% and Kairat Almaty 1%. Atalanta are therefore favourites.

When and where is Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty played?

Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: New Balance Arena, Bergamo.

What form are Atalanta and Kairat Almaty in?

Atalanta: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 12 conceded). Kairat Almaty: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded).

Go further

Key terms explained