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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

UEFA Conference League: FC Midtjylland vs Ajax kicks off on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: MCH Arena, Herning. With a 78% win probability, Ajax go in as strong favourites against FC Midtjylland (9%), with the draw rated at 13%.

FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Ajax have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FC Midtjylland score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Ajax score 2.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, FC Midtjylland sit 25th with 1 points from 2 games, Ajax 13th with 3 points from 2. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, FC Midtjylland have averaged 1.37 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.82 for Ajax.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Midtjylland and Ajax: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Ajax: S. Adingra, Caio Henrique, K. Dolberg, O. Edvardsen, A. Gaaei and S. Berghuis (doubtful). In double chance terms, "FC Midtjylland or draw" stands at 22%, "Ajax or draw" at 91% and "no draw" at 87%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

9%
FC Midtjylland (Win)
13%
Draw
78%
Ajax (Win)

Double chance

22%
FC Midtjylland or draw
91%
Ajax or draw
87%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

FC Midtjylland

DateOpponentScore
Oct 19, 2026Viborg · Superliga2-1W
Oct 15, 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Oct 11, 2026FC Copenhagen · Superliga2-1W
Sep 19, 2026Odense · Superliga1-1D
Sep 14, 2026Brondby · Superliga4-1W

Ajax

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie2-1W
Oct 22, 2026Atalanta · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Oct 18, 2026Groningen · Eredivisie5-2W
Oct 15, 2026HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Conference League1-2L
Oct 10, 2026NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
FC Midtjylland2512
Ajax1332

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Midtjylland and Ajax: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

FC Midtjylland

No absences reported.

Ajax

  • S. Adingra (out)
  • Caio Henrique (out)
  • K. Dolberg (out)
  • O. Edvardsen (out)
  • A. Gaaei (out)
  • S. Berghuis (doubtful)

Most regular starters

FC Midtjylland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • P. Billing5/5
  • D. Castillo4/5
  • F. Etim4/5
  • P. Bravo4/5
  • R. Kristensen4/5
  • S. Iheanacho4/5
  • Cho Gue-Sung3/5
  • D. Martinez3/5
  • N. Bakker3/5
  • O. Diao3/5
  • A. Maxsø2/5

Ajax

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Brandt5/5
  • M. ter Stegen5/5
  • S. Amrabat5/5
  • J. Mokio4/5
  • L. Rosa4/5
  • Y. Baas4/5
  • A. Bouwman3/5
  • D. Klaassen3/5
  • O. Gloukh3/5
  • O. Wijndal3/5
  • T. Arokodare3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FC Midtjylland vs Ajax prediction?

Our AI gives FC Midtjylland a 9% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Ajax 78%. Ajax are therefore favourites.

When and where is FC Midtjylland vs Ajax played?

Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: MCH Arena, Herning.

What form are FC Midtjylland and Ajax in?

FC Midtjylland: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). Ajax: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 6 conceded).

Go further

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