CONMEBOL Libertadores· Kick-off : Friday, October 16, 2026, 01:30 (UK time)
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 Flamengo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Flamengo (61%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (74%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (79%): missed.
Match analysis
Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo met on Friday, October 16, 2026, a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture. Venue: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata. Before kick-off, our model gave Estudiantes L.P. a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Flamengo 61%. On the correct score, 1-2 comes out on top (8.1%), followed by 1-3 (7.2%) and 2-2 (6.3%).
Estudiantes L.P. have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Flamengo therefore arrive in far better shape than Estudiantes L.P.. On average Estudiantes L.P. score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Flamengo score 1.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Estudiantes L.P. sit 2nd with 9 points from 6 games, Flamengo 1st with 16 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Estudiantes L.P. have averaged 1.95 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.13 for Flamengo.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Estudiantes L.P., 2 for Flamengo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Flamengo 1-0 Estudiantes L.P. (May 21, 2026). Flamengo: Ayrton Lucas, Evertton Araujo, Jorginho (suspended) and G. de Arrascaeta. In double chance terms, "Estudiantes L.P. or draw" stands at 39%, "Flamengo or draw" at 79% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Our model backs Flamengo to edge Estudiantes L.P. (61% probability). In the table, Estudiantes L.P. (2nd, 9 pts) host Flamengo (1st, 16 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 79%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Estudiantes L.P. – Flamengo. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (8.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 33% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Estudiantes L.P. 1-2 Flamengo | 8.1% |
| Estudiantes L.P. 1-3 Flamengo | 7.2% |
| Estudiantes L.P. 2-2 Flamengo | 6.3% |
| Estudiantes L.P. 1-1 Flamengo | 6.1% |
| Estudiantes L.P. 2-3 Flamengo | 5.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.56 expected goals for Estudiantes L.P. and 2.66 for Flamengo, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 79% and "both teams to score" at 74%. Goals look likely in this one. Estudiantes L.P. keep a clean sheet in 7% of scenarios, Flamengo in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Estudiantes L.P. expected goals | 1.56 |
| Flamengo expected goals | 2.66 |
| Both teams to score | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 61% |
| Estudiantes L.P. clean sheet | 7% |
| Flamengo clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Estudiantes L.P.
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago · Argentine Primera División | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Gimnasia M. · Argentine Primera División | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Platense · Copa Argentina | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rosario Central · Super Copa International | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Lanus · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
Flamengo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Santos · Brasileirão Série A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Independiente del Valle · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Corinthians · Brasileirão Série A | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes L.P. | 2 | 9 | 6 |
| Flamengo | 1 | 16 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Flamengo 1-0 Estudiantes L.P. | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. 1-1 Flamengo | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 Flamengo | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Flamengo 2-1 Estudiantes L.P. | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
Out and doubtful
Estudiantes L.P.
No absences reported.
Flamengo
- Ayrton Lucas (out)
- Evertton Araujo (out)
- Jorginho (suspended)
- G. de Arrascaeta (out)
Most regular starters
Estudiantes L.P.
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Castro3/4
- A. Gaich3/4
- F. Muslera3/4
- J. Burgos3/4
- L. Gonzalez Pirez3/4
- L. Piovi3/4
- S. Nunez3/4
- B. Rodriguez2/4
- E. Mancuso2/4
- G. Benedetti2/4
- Gabriel Neves2/4
Flamengo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Rossi4/5
- J. Carrascal4/5
- Lucas Paquetá4/5
- Samuel Lino4/5
- Ayrton Lucas3/5
- E. Pulgar3/5
- Jorginho3/5
- Léo Ortiz3/5
- Léo Pereira3/5
- Pedro3/5
- Alex Sandro2/5
Other matches in this competition
Frequently asked questions
What is the Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Estudiantes L.P. a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Flamengo 61%. Flamengo are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
1-2 (8.1%), followed by 1-3 (7.2%), 2-2 (6.3%), 1-1 (6.1%) and 2-3 (5.6%).
Will both teams score in Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
The probability that both Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo score is 74%. Estudiantes L.P. have a 7% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Flamengo 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
The model expects 4.22 goals (1.56 for Estudiantes L.P., 2.66 for Flamengo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 92%, over 2.5 goals 79%, over 3.5 goals 61%.
When and where is Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo played?
Friday, October 16, 2026 at 01:30 (UK time), CONMEBOL Libertadores. Venue: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata.
What form are Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo in?
Estudiantes L.P.: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Flamengo: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Estudiantes L.P., 2 for Flamengo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Flamengo 1-0 Estudiantes L.P. (May 21, 2026).
What was the Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 Flamengo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Flamengo (61%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (74%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (79%): missed.
How is the Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.56 for Estudiantes L.P., 2.66 for Flamengo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Estudiantes L.P. predictions
- All Flamengo predictions
- CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology