CONMEBOL Libertadores· Kick-off : Friday, October 23, 2026, 01:30 (UK time)
Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Flamengo 0-0 Estudiantes L.P. (2-3 on penalties). The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Flamengo (70%), while a draw was rated at only 17%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (66%): missed.
Match analysis
Flamengo and Estudiantes L.P. met on Friday, October 23, 2026, a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture. Venue: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro. Before kick-off, our model gave Flamengo a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Estudiantes L.P. 13%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.1%).
Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 3. Estudiantes L.P. have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 5. Flamengo therefore arrive in far better shape than Estudiantes L.P.. On average Flamengo score 1.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Estudiantes L.P. score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Flamengo sit 1st with 16 points from 6 games, Estudiantes L.P. 2nd with 9 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Flamengo have averaged 1.57 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.50 for Estudiantes L.P..
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Flamengo, 1 for Estudiantes L.P. and 1 draw. The most recent ended Flamengo 1-0 Estudiantes L.P. (May 21, 2026). Flamengo out or doubtful: Ayrton Lucas, Danilo, Evertton Araujo, S. Niguez and G. de Arrascaeta. In double chance terms, "Flamengo or draw" stands at 87%, "Estudiantes L.P. or draw" at 30% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Flamengo are tipped by our AI model in this Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P. (70%). In the table, Flamengo (1st, 16 pts) host Estudiantes L.P. (2nd, 9 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Flamengo – Estudiantes L.P.. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Flamengo 2-0 Estudiantes L.P. | 9.9% |
| Flamengo 2-1 Estudiantes L.P. | 9.6% |
| Flamengo 1-0 Estudiantes L.P. | 8.1% |
| Flamengo 3-0 Estudiantes L.P. | 8.0% |
| Flamengo 1-1 Estudiantes L.P. | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.43 expected goals for Flamengo and 0.97 for Estudiantes L.P., "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 66% and "both teams to score" at 57%. Goals look likely in this one. Flamengo keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Estudiantes L.P. in 9%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Flamengo expected goals | 2.43 |
| Estudiantes L.P. expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% |
| Flamengo clean sheet | 38% |
| Estudiantes L.P. clean sheet | 9% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Flamengo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bahia · Brasileirão Série A | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Santos · Brasileirão Série A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A | 2-1 | W |
Estudiantes L.P.
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | San Lorenzo · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Flamengo · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago · Argentine Primera División | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Gimnasia M. · Argentine Primera División | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Platense · Copa Argentina | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 1 | 16 | 6 |
| Estudiantes L.P. | 2 | 9 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Flamengo 1-0 Estudiantes L.P. | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. 1-1 Flamengo | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 Flamengo | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Flamengo 2-1 Estudiantes L.P. | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
Out and doubtful
Flamengo
- Ayrton Lucas (out)
- Danilo (out)
- Evertton Araujo (out)
- S. Niguez (out)
- G. de Arrascaeta (out)
Estudiantes L.P.
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Flamengo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Léo Pereira5/5
- Léo Ortiz4/5
- Samuel Lino4/5
- Agustín Rossi3/5
- Alex Sandro3/5
- Emerson Royal3/5
- Jorge Carrascal3/5
- Jorginho3/5
- Lucas Paquetá3/5
- Pedro Guilherme3/5
- A. Rossi2/5
Estudiantes L.P.
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- T. Palacios4/5
- E. Mancuso3/5
- F. Muslera3/5
- G. Benedetti3/5
- J. Burgos3/5
- L. Gonzalez Pirez3/5
- M. Monsalve3/5
- A. Castro2/5
- A. Gaich2/5
- B. Kociubinski2/5
- B. Rodriguez2/5
Other matches in this competition
Frequently asked questions
What is the Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Flamengo a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Estudiantes L.P. 13%. Flamengo are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
2-0 (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (9.6%), 1-0 (8.1%), 3-0 (8.0%) and 1-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The probability that both Flamengo and Estudiantes L.P. score is 57%. Flamengo have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Estudiantes L.P. 9%.
How many goals should we expect in Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model expects 3.40 goals (2.43 for Flamengo, 0.97 for Estudiantes L.P.). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 66%, over 3.5 goals 44%.
When and where is Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. played?
Friday, October 23, 2026 at 01:30 (UK time), CONMEBOL Libertadores. Venue: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.
What form are Flamengo and Estudiantes L.P. in?
Flamengo: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded). Estudiantes L.P.: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Estudiantes L.P.?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Flamengo, 1 for Estudiantes L.P. and 1 draw. The most recent ended Flamengo 1-0 Estudiantes L.P. (May 21, 2026).
What was the Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Flamengo 0-0 Estudiantes L.P. (2-3 on penalties). The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Flamengo (70%), while a draw was rated at only 17%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (66%): missed.
How is the Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.43 for Flamengo, 0.97 for Estudiantes L.P.) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Flamengo predictions
- All Estudiantes L.P. predictions
- CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology