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AFCON 2027 QualifiersAFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Friday, November 13, 2026, 13:00 (UK time)

Mozambique vs Ethiopia prediction: correct score and AI tips

MozambiqueMozambique–EthiopiaEthiopia

Match analysis

AFCON 2027 Qualifiers: the Mozambique vs Ethiopia match is scheduled on Friday, November 13, 2026 at 13:00 (UK time). With a 83% win probability, Mozambique go in as strong favourites against Ethiopia (5%), with the draw rated at 12%.

Mozambique have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Ethiopia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Mozambique score 1.20 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Ethiopia score 0.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, Mozambique sit 2nd with 4 points from 2 games, Ethiopia 4th with 0 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Mozambique, 0 for Ethiopia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Ethiopia 0-0 Mozambique (Jan 14, 2023). In double chance terms, "Mozambique or draw" stands at 95%, "Ethiopia or draw" at 17% and "no draw" at 88%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

83%
Mozambique (Win)
12%
Draw
5%
Ethiopia (Win)

Double chance

95%
Mozambique or draw
17%
Ethiopia or draw
88%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Mozambique

DateOpponentScore
Sep 29, 2026Sudan · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers4-1W
Sep 25, 2026Senegal · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers1-1D
Jun 9, 2026Indonesia · International Friendlies0-1L
Jun 7, 2026Oman · International Friendlies1-4L
Jan 5, 2026Nigeria · Africa Cup of Nations0-4L

Ethiopia

DateOpponentScore
Sep 29, 2026Senegal · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers0-1L
Sep 25, 2026Sudan · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers0-1L
Jun 9, 2026Malawi · International Friendlies1-1D
Jun 6, 2026Malawi · International Friendlies1-0W
Mar 31, 2026São Tomé & Príncipe · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Mozambique242
Ethiopia402

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 14, 2023Ethiopia 0-0 MozambiqueAfrican Nations Championship

Out and doubtful

Mozambique

No absences reported.

Ethiopia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Mozambique

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Amade3/5
  • E. Dove3/5
  • Guima3/5
  • Witi3/5
  • B. Langa2/5
  • Bheu2/5
  • D. Antonio2/5
  • E. Siluane2/5
  • F. Bangal2/5
  • G. Catamo2/5
  • Nanani2/5

Ethiopia

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Gugsa3/4
  • H. Tekeste3/4
  • S. Yohannes3/4
  • A. Ambisa2/4
  • B. Belay2/4
  • D. Hotessa2/4
  • J. Yakob2/4
  • Y. Baye2/4
  • A. Biniam1/4
  • A. Nuri1/4
  • A. Yalew1/4

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Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Mozambique vs Ethiopia prediction?

Our AI gives Mozambique a 83% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Ethiopia 5%. Mozambique are therefore favourites.

When and where is Mozambique vs Ethiopia played?

Friday, November 13, 2026 at 13:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers.

What form are Mozambique and Ethiopia in?

Mozambique: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 11 conceded). Ethiopia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Mozambique and Ethiopia?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Mozambique, 0 for Ethiopia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Ethiopia 0-0 Mozambique (Jan 14, 2023).

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Key terms explained