Eredivisie· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 15:45 (UK time)
Groningen vs Ajax prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Eredivisie, matchday 9: Groningen vs Ajax kicks off on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 15:45 (UK time). Venue: Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen. With a 60% win probability, Groningen go in as strong favourites against Ajax (21%), with the draw rated at 19%.
Over their last 5 matches, Groningen have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Ajax have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Groningen score 2.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Ajax score 2.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Groningen sit 6th with 14 points from 8 games, Ajax 5th with 15 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Groningen have averaged 2.17 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.46 for Ajax.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Groningen, 3 for Ajax and 1 draw. The most recent ended Ajax 2-0 Groningen (May 21, 2026). Groningen out or doubtful: T. Hernes, M. Jeng, T. Mercera and E. van der Laan. Ajax: S. Berghuis, D. Blind, Caio Henrique, K. Dolberg and A. Gaaei. In double chance terms, "Groningen or draw" stands at 79%, "Ajax or draw" at 40% and "no draw" at 81%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Groningen
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior · Eredivisie | 5-1 | W |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Twente · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie | 2-3 | L |
Ajax
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Excelsior · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Willem II · Eredivisie | 5-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie | 5-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| Ajax | 5 | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Ajax 2-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Groningen 3-1 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Ajax 2-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| May 14, 2025 | Groningen 2-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Ajax 3-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
Out and doubtful
Groningen
- T. Hernes (out)
- M. Jeng (out)
- T. Mercera (out)
- E. van der Laan (out)
Ajax
- S. Berghuis (out)
- D. Blind (out)
- Caio Henrique (out)
- K. Dolberg (out)
- A. Gaaei (out)
Most regular starters
Groningen
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Willumsson5/5
- D. van der Werff5/5
- E. Vaessen5/5
- J. Schreuders5/5
- P. Clement5/5
- T. Blokzijl5/5
- T. de Jonge5/5
- T. van Bergen5/5
- M. Csinger4/5
- T. Land3/5
- W. Prins3/5
Ajax
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Brandt4/5
- J. Mokio4/5
- T. Kehrer4/5
- Y. Baas4/5
- M. ter Stegen3/5
- O. Gloukh3/5
- A. Gaaei2/5
- Caio Henrique2/5
- D. Klaassen2/5
- K. Dolberg2/5
- L. Rosa2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Heerenveen 4-0 ExcelsiorOct 16, 2026
- ADO Den Haag – PSV EindhovenOct 17, 2026
- Telstar – FeyenoordOct 17, 2026
- Sparta Rotterdam – Willem IIOct 17, 2026
- PEC Zwolle – GO Ahead EaglesOct 18, 2026
- Cambuur – AZ AlkmaarOct 18, 2026
- NEC Nijmegen – Fortuna SittardOct 18, 2026
- Twente – UtrechtOct 18, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Groningen vs Ajax prediction?
Our AI gives Groningen a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ajax 21%. Groningen are therefore favourites.
When and where is Groningen vs Ajax played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 15:45 (UK time), Eredivisie, matchday 9. Venue: Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen.
What form are Groningen and Ajax in?
Groningen: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 7 conceded). Ajax: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Ajax?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Groningen, 3 for Ajax and 1 draw. The most recent ended Ajax 2-0 Groningen (May 21, 2026).
Go further
- All Groningen predictions
- All Ajax predictions
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