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EredivisieEredivisie· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 13:30 (UK time)

NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Eredivisie, matchday 10: the NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen match is scheduled on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 13:30 (UK time). Venue: Goffertstadion, Nijmegen. With a 67% win probability, Groningen go in as strong favourites against NEC Nijmegen (16%), with the draw rated at 17%.

NEC Nijmegen have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Groningen have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Groningen. On average NEC Nijmegen score 0.60 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Groningen score 2.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, NEC Nijmegen sit 11th with 9 points from 8 games, Groningen 6th with 14 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, NEC Nijmegen have averaged 1.38 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.17 for Groningen.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for NEC Nijmegen, 1 for Groningen and 0 draws. The most recent ended Groningen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen (May 10, 2026). NEC Nijmegen out or doubtful: E. Mor, B. Nuytinck, P. Sandler, D. Tadic (doubtful) and A. Thomas (doubtful). Groningen: T. Hernes, M. Jeng, T. Mercera and E. van der Laan. In double chance terms, "NEC Nijmegen or draw" stands at 33%, "Groningen or draw" at 84% and "no draw" at 83%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

16%
NEC Nijmegen (Win)
17%
Draw
67%
Groningen (Win)

Double chance

33%
NEC Nijmegen or draw
84%
Groningen or draw
83%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

NEC Nijmegen

DateOpponentScore
Oct 15, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Oct 10, 2026Ajax · Eredivisie1-1D
Sep 20, 2026GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1-1D
Sep 17, 2026Juventus · UEFA Europa League0-5L
Sep 12, 2026Cambuur · Eredivisie0-3L

Groningen

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Excelsior · Eredivisie5-1W
Sep 18, 2026PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie3-0W
Sep 12, 2026GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1-1D
Sep 6, 2026Twente · Eredivisie2-2D
Aug 28, 2026Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
NEC Nijmegen1198
Groningen6148

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Groningen 2-1 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
Nov 9, 2025NEC Nijmegen 2-0 GroningenEredivisie

Out and doubtful

NEC Nijmegen

  • E. Mor (out)
  • B. Nuytinck (out)
  • P. Sandler (out)
  • D. Tadic (doubtful)
  • A. Thomas (doubtful)

Groningen

  • T. Hernes (out)
  • M. Jeng (out)
  • T. Mercera (out)
  • E. van der Laan (out)

Most regular starters

NEC Nijmegen

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • N. Lebreton5/5
  • T. Chery5/5
  • B. Linssen4/5
  • T. Storm4/5
  • D. Nejasmic3/5
  • G. Crettaz3/5
  • P. Schuurs3/5
  • A. Thomas2/5
  • Clement Bischoff2/5
  • D. Nejašmić2/5
  • D. Tadic2/5

Groningen

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Willumsson5/5
  • D. van der Werff5/5
  • E. Vaessen5/5
  • J. Schreuders5/5
  • P. Clement5/5
  • T. Blokzijl5/5
  • T. de Jonge5/5
  • T. van Bergen5/5
  • M. Csinger4/5
  • T. Land3/5
  • W. Prins3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction?

Our AI gives NEC Nijmegen a 16% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Groningen 67%. Groningen are therefore favourites.

When and where is NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 13:30 (UK time), Eredivisie, matchday 10. Venue: Goffertstadion, Nijmegen.

What form are NEC Nijmegen and Groningen in?

NEC Nijmegen: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 11 conceded). Groningen: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between NEC Nijmegen and Groningen?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for NEC Nijmegen, 1 for Groningen and 0 draws. The most recent ended Groningen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen (May 10, 2026).

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Key terms explained