Eredivisie· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 15:45 (UK time)
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Sparta Rotterdam take on Ajax on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 15:45 (UK time), a Eredivisie, matchday 10 fixture. Venue: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam. Ajax start as favourites with a 56% chance of victory; Sparta Rotterdam are given 23% and the draw 21%.
Sparta Rotterdam have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 15. Over their last 5 matches, Ajax have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Ajax therefore arrive in far better shape than Sparta Rotterdam. On average Sparta Rotterdam score 1.40 and concede 3.00 goals per game; Ajax score 2.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Sparta Rotterdam sit 14th with 6 points from 8 games, Ajax 5th with 15 points from 8. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Sparta Rotterdam have averaged 1.98 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.46 for Ajax.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sparta Rotterdam, 1 for Ajax and 1 draw. The most recent ended Ajax 4-0 Sparta Rotterdam (Mar 14, 2026). Sparta Rotterdam out or doubtful: S. Mito and M. van Bergen. Ajax: S. Berghuis, D. Blind, Caio Henrique, K. Dolberg and A. Gaaei. In double chance terms, "Sparta Rotterdam or draw" stands at 44%, "Ajax or draw" at 77% and "no draw" at 79%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Sparta Rotterdam
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie | 3-3 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heerenveen · Eredivisie | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Excelsior · Eredivisie | 1-2 | L |
Ajax
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Excelsior · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Willem II · Eredivisie | 5-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie | 5-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam | 14 | 6 | 8 |
| Ajax | 5 | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Ajax 4-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 3-3 Ajax | Eredivisie |
Out and doubtful
Sparta Rotterdam
- S. Mito (out)
- M. van Bergen (out)
Ajax
- S. Berghuis (out)
- D. Blind (out)
- Caio Henrique (out)
- K. Dolberg (out)
- A. Gaaei (out)
Most regular starters
Sparta Rotterdam
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Kuipers5/5
- B. Martins Indi5/5
- L. Martes5/5
- M. Young5/5
- M. Zonneveld5/5
- C. Hatenboer4/5
- J. Baas4/5
- M. Brouwer4/5
- C. Terho3/5
- M. van Bergen3/5
- I. Babadi2/5
Ajax
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Brandt4/5
- J. Mokio4/5
- T. Kehrer4/5
- Y. Baas4/5
- M. ter Stegen3/5
- O. Gloukh3/5
- A. Gaaei2/5
- Caio Henrique2/5
- D. Klaassen2/5
- K. Dolberg2/5
- L. Rosa2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- GO Ahead Eagles – TelstarOct 23, 2026
- Utrecht – PEC ZwolleOct 24, 2026
- Willem II – CambuurOct 24, 2026
- ADO Den Haag – HeerenveenOct 24, 2026
- Fortuna Sittard – ExcelsiorOct 25, 2026
- NEC Nijmegen – GroningenOct 25, 2026
- PSV Eindhoven – FeyenoordOct 25, 2026
- AZ Alkmaar – TwenteOct 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction?
Our AI gives Sparta Rotterdam a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ajax 56%. Ajax are therefore favourites.
When and where is Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax played?
Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 15:45 (UK time), Eredivisie, matchday 10. Venue: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam.
What form are Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax in?
Sparta Rotterdam: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 15 conceded). Ajax: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sparta Rotterdam, 1 for Ajax and 1 draw. The most recent ended Ajax 4-0 Sparta Rotterdam (Mar 14, 2026).
Go further
- All Sparta Rotterdam predictions
- All Ajax predictions
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