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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, November 22, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

La Liga, matchday 13: the Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia match is scheduled on Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time). Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid. Our model makes Rayo Vallecano clear favourites: a 68% chance of winning, against 19% for the draw and 13% for Valencia.

Over their last 5 matches, Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Valencia have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Rayo Vallecano score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Valencia score 0.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Rayo Vallecano sit 14th with 12 points from 11 games, Valencia 19th with 9 points from 12. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Rayo Vallecano have averaged 1.57 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.09 for Valencia.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Rayo Vallecano, 0 for Valencia and 4 draws. The most recent ended Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (May 14, 2026). In double chance terms, "Rayo Vallecano or draw" stands at 87%, "Valencia or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 81%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

68%
Rayo Vallecano (Win)
19%
Draw
13%
Valencia (Win)

Double chance

87%
Rayo Vallecano or draw
32%
Valencia or draw
81%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Rayo Vallecano

DateOpponentScore
Nov 8, 2026Real Sociedad · La Liga0-1L
Oct 31, 2026Celta Vigo · La Liga3-0W
Oct 27, 2026Recreativo Huelva · Copa del Rey3-2W
Oct 24, 2026Elche · La Liga0-3L
Oct 19, 2026Getafe · La Liga1-1D

Valencia

DateOpponentScore
Nov 7, 2026Real Madrid · La Liga0-3L
Nov 1, 2026Elche · La Liga1-0W
Oct 24, 2026Villarreal · La Liga1-2L
Oct 17, 2026Athletic Club · La Liga0-0D
Oct 11, 2026Racing Santander · La Liga2-2D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Rayo Vallecano141211
Valencia19912

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 14, 2026Valencia 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
Dec 1, 2025Rayo Vallecano 1-1 ValenciaLa Liga
Apr 19, 2025Rayo Vallecano 1-1 ValenciaLa Liga
Dec 7, 2024Valencia 0-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
May 12, 2024Valencia 0-0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Rayo Vallecano

No absences reported.

Valencia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Rayo Vallecano

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Audero4/5
  • F. Lejeune4/5
  • P. Ciss3/5
  • A. Garcia2/5
  • A. Pedrosa2/5
  • A. Rațiu2/5
  • Adrià Pedrosa2/5
  • G. Tsitaishvili2/5
  • I. Balliu2/5
  • J. de Frutos2/5
  • Jorge de Frutos2/5

Valencia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Pepelu5/5
  • S. Dimitrievski5/5
  • A. Danjuma4/5
  • G. Rodriguez3/5
  • J. De Haas3/5
  • J. Gaya3/5
  • J. Guerra3/5
  • P. Maffeo3/5
  • Aaron Mayol2/5
  • C. Tarrega2/5
  • César Tárrega2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia prediction?

Our AI gives Rayo Vallecano a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Valencia 13%. Rayo Vallecano are therefore favourites.

When and where is Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia played?

Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 13. Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid.

What form are Rayo Vallecano and Valencia in?

Rayo Vallecano: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Valencia: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Rayo Vallecano, 0 for Valencia and 4 draws. The most recent ended Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (May 14, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained