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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, November 22, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction: correct score and AI tips

Real MadridReal Madrid–Celta VigoCelta Vigo

Match analysis

La Liga, matchday 13: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo kicks off on Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time). With a 89% win probability, Real Madrid go in as strong favourites against Celta Vigo (4%), with the draw rated at 7%.

Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 15 and conceding 4. Celta Vigo have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Real Madrid. On average Real Madrid score 3.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Celta Vigo score 0.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Real Madrid sit 2nd with 30 points from 12 games, Celta Vigo 11th with 13 points from 12. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Real Madrid have averaged 2.85 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.57 for Celta Vigo.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Real Madrid, 1 for Celta Vigo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid (Mar 6, 2026). Celta Vigo: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt and H. Gonzalez (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Real Madrid or draw" stands at 96%, "Celta Vigo or draw" at 11% and "no draw" at 93%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

89%
Real Madrid (Win)
7%
Draw
4%
Celta Vigo (Win)

Double chance

96%
Real Madrid or draw
11%
Celta Vigo or draw
93%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Real Madrid

DateOpponentScore
Nov 7, 2026Valencia · La Liga3-0W
Nov 4, 2026AEK Athens FC · UEFA Champions League3-2W
Nov 1, 2026Racing Santander · La Liga3-0W
Oct 25, 2026Barcelona · La Liga2-1W
Oct 21, 2026RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League4-1W

Celta Vigo

DateOpponentScore
Nov 8, 2026Levante · La Liga0-0D
Nov 5, 2026Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Europa League1-2L
Oct 31, 2026Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0-3L
Oct 25, 2026Real Betis · La Liga0-0D
Oct 22, 2026Celtic · UEFA Europa League2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Real Madrid23012
Celta Vigo111312

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 6, 2026Celta Vigo 1-2 Real MadridLa Liga
Dec 7, 2025Real Madrid 0-2 Celta VigoLa Liga
May 4, 2025Real Madrid 3-2 Celta VigoLa Liga
Jan 16, 2025Real Madrid 5-2 Celta VigoCopa del Rey
Oct 19, 2024Celta Vigo 1-2 Real MadridLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Real Madrid

No absences reported.

Celta Vigo

  • H. F. Cuenca Martinez (out)
  • J. El Abdellaoui (out)
  • B. Iglesias (out)
  • A. Nunez (out)
  • M. Roman (out)
  • C. Starfelt (out)
  • H. Gonzalez (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Real Madrid

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Bellingham4/5
  • B. Silva3/5
  • D. Huijsen3/5
  • F. Valverde3/5
  • K. Mbappe3/5
  • T. Courtois3/5
  • Y. Diomande3/5
  • A. Guler2/5
  • A. Rudiger2/5
  • Bernardo Silva2/5
  • E. Camavinga2/5

Celta Vigo

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • I. Radu5/5
  • Javi Rodríguez4/5
  • Javi Rueda4/5
  • Aleix Febas3/5
  • Hugo Álvarez3/5
  • I. Moriba3/5
  • Marcos Alonso3/5
  • S. Cáceres3/5
  • Sergio Carreira3/5
  • Ferran Jutglà2/5
  • H. Burcio2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction?

Our AI gives Real Madrid a 89% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Celta Vigo 4%. Real Madrid are therefore favourites.

When and where is Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo played?

Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 13.

What form are Real Madrid and Celta Vigo in?

Real Madrid: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 4 conceded). Celta Vigo: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Real Madrid, 1 for Celta Vigo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid (Mar 6, 2026).

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