Liga MX· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 01:00 (UK time)
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Liga MX: Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas kicks off on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 01:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio BBVA, Monterrey. With a 77% win probability, Guadalajara Chivas go in as strong favourites against Monterrey (6%), with the draw rated at 17%.
Over their last 5 matches, Monterrey have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Guadalajara Chivas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Monterrey score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Monterrey sit 11th with 14 points from 10 games, Guadalajara Chivas 5th with 19 points from 11. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Monterrey have averaged 0.40 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.12 for Guadalajara Chivas.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Monterrey, 2 for Guadalajara Chivas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Monterrey 2-3 Guadalajara Chivas (Mar 22, 2026). In double chance terms, "Monterrey or draw" stands at 23%, "Guadalajara Chivas or draw" at 94% and "no draw" at 83%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Monterrey
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Club America · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Toluca · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlante FC · Liga MX | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cruz Azul · Liga MX | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tigres UANL · Liga MX | 0-0 | D |
Guadalajara Chivas
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlas · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Club America · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Club Queretaro · Liga MX | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club America · Liga MX | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 19 | 11 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Monterrey 2-3 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas 4-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Monterrey
No absences reported.
Guadalajara Chivas
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Monterrey
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Andrada4/4
- H. Cuypers4/4
- J. Corona4/4
- O. Torres4/4
- R. Chavez4/4
- C. Garza3/4
- C. Salcedo3/4
- G. Arteaga3/4
- O. Pineda3/4
- V. Guzman3/4
- A. Aceves2/4
Guadalajara Chivas
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Aguirre5/5
- F. Gonzalez5/5
- D. Campillo Del Campo4/5
- R. Alvarado4/5
- R. Marin4/5
- A. Sepulveda3/5
- B. Gutierrez3/5
- L. Romo3/5
- O. Govea3/5
- R. Ledezma3/5
- R. Rangel3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- CF Pachuca – Cruz AzulOct 22, 2026
- Santos Laguna – U.N.A.M. - PumasOct 22, 2026
- Necaxa – FC JuarezOct 24, 2026
- Atlante FC – Atletico San LuisOct 24, 2026
- Leon – TolucaOct 25, 2026
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Tigres UANLOct 25, 2026
- Atlas – PueblaOct 25, 2026
- Club America – CF PachucaOct 25, 2026
- Club Queretaro – Cruz AzulOct 26, 2026
- Club Tijuana – Santos LagunaOct 26, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction?
Our AI gives Monterrey a 6% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Guadalajara Chivas 77%. Guadalajara Chivas are therefore favourites.
When and where is Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas played?
Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 01:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio BBVA, Monterrey.
What form are Monterrey and Guadalajara Chivas in?
Monterrey: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Guadalajara Chivas: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Monterrey and Guadalajara Chivas?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Monterrey, 2 for Guadalajara Chivas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Monterrey 2-3 Guadalajara Chivas (Mar 22, 2026).
Go further
- All Monterrey predictions
- All Guadalajara Chivas predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Monterrey cards
- Guadalajara Chivas cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology