Liga MX· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)
Santos Laguna vs Necaxa: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Santos Laguna 1-0 Necaxa. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Santos Laguna at 82%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (70%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (87%): missed.
Match analysis
Santos Laguna and Necaxa met on Sunday, November 1, 2026, a Liga MX fixture. Venue: Estadio TSM Corona, Torreon. Before kick-off, our model gave Santos Laguna a 82% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Necaxa 8%. On the correct score, 3-1 comes out on top (7.5%), followed by 4-1 (6.9%) and 2-1 (6.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, Santos Laguna have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Necaxa have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 11. Santos Laguna therefore arrive in far better shape than Necaxa. On average Santos Laguna score 2.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Necaxa score 1.20 and concede 2.20. In the table, Santos Laguna sit 12th with 19 points from 14 games, Necaxa 17th with 10 points from 14. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Santos Laguna have averaged 2.25 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.05 for Necaxa.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Santos Laguna, 2 for Necaxa and 0 draws. The most recent ended Santos Laguna 1-3 Necaxa (Jan 11, 2026). In double chance terms, "Santos Laguna or draw" stands at 92%, "Necaxa or draw" at 18% and "no draw" at 90%.
In short : Santos Laguna are tipped by our AI model in this Santos Laguna v Necaxa (82%). On recent form, Santos Laguna are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Necaxa have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Santos Laguna – Necaxa. 3-1 is the single most likely scoreline (7.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 32% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Santos Laguna 3-1 Necaxa | 7.5% |
| Santos Laguna 4-1 Necaxa | 6.9% |
| Santos Laguna 2-1 Necaxa | 6.1% |
| Santos Laguna 3-0 Necaxa | 6.0% |
| Santos Laguna 4-0 Necaxa | 5.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 3.70 expected goals for Santos Laguna and 1.25 for Necaxa, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 87% and "both teams to score" at 70%. Goals look likely in this one. Santos Laguna keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, Necaxa in 3%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Santos Laguna expected goals | 3.70 |
| Necaxa expected goals | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 96% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 87% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 73% |
| Santos Laguna clean sheet | 29% |
| Necaxa clean sheet | 3% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Santos Laguna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Club Tijuana · Liga MX | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 22, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Club Queretaro · Liga MX | 5-0 | W |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Atletico San Luis · Liga MX | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CF Pachuca · Liga MX | 1-0 | W |
Necaxa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Juarez · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlas · Liga MX | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 12, 2026 | CF Pachuca · Liga MX | 3-3 | D |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Club America · Liga MX | 2-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna | 12 | 19 | 14 |
| Necaxa | 17 | 10 | 14 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Santos Laguna 1-3 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Necaxa 4-1 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Santos Laguna
No absences reported.
Necaxa
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Santos Laguna
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Acevedo5/5
- E. Bullaude5/5
- F. Caseres5/5
- F. Pardo5/5
- F. Sanchez5/5
- F. Villalba5/5
- M. Cuevas5/5
- D. Gonzalez4/5
- E. Orona4/5
- T. Jimenez3/5
- E. Aguirre2/5
Necaxa
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Oliveros4/5
- C. Vargas4/5
- D. Leyva4/5
- D. Ochoa4/5
- E. Rodriguez4/5
- J. Carranza4/5
- M. Espindola4/5
- O. Gonzalez4/5
- E. Martinez3/5
- J. Orantes3/5
- Naves3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Club America 1-1 Club TijuanaOct 29, 2026
- Atletico San Luis 0-1 AtlasOct 31, 2026
- FC Juarez 3-1 Club QueretaroOct 31, 2026
- Puebla 1-2 U.N.A.M. - PumasOct 31, 2026
- CF Pachuca 3-0 Tigres UANLOct 31, 2026
- Monterrey 3-3 Club TijuanaNov 1, 2026
- Guadalajara Chivas 4-2 Atlante FCNov 1, 2026
- Club America 2-2 TolucaNov 1, 2026
- Cruz Azul 2-1 LeonNov 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Santos Laguna a 82% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Necaxa 8%. Santos Laguna are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?
3-1 (7.5%), followed by 4-1 (6.9%), 2-1 (6.1%), 3-0 (6.0%) and 4-0 (5.5%).
Will both teams score in Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?
The probability that both Santos Laguna and Necaxa score is 70%. Santos Laguna have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Necaxa 3%.
How many goals should we expect in Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?
The model expects 4.95 goals (3.70 for Santos Laguna, 1.25 for Necaxa). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 96%, over 2.5 goals 87%, over 3.5 goals 73%.
When and where is Santos Laguna vs Necaxa played?
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio TSM Corona, Torreon.
What form are Santos Laguna and Necaxa in?
Santos Laguna: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 5 conceded). Necaxa: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Santos Laguna and Necaxa?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Santos Laguna, 2 for Necaxa and 0 draws. The most recent ended Santos Laguna 1-3 Necaxa (Jan 11, 2026).
What was the Santos Laguna vs Necaxa result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Santos Laguna 1-0 Necaxa. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Santos Laguna at 82%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (70%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (87%): missed.
How is the Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.70 for Santos Laguna, 1.25 for Necaxa) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Santos Laguna predictions
- All Necaxa predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology